Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x616981a0baad219419eff3b20945c3d1d3b1520b43eedfa1d1da730532a8f87f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof T1, Nongshim RedForce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 3,543$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed T1 | 27c | 1,599$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.82 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Nongshim RedForce | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked T1 | 44c | 999$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.56 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed T1 | 44c | 880$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.2 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 72c | 606.74$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 597.31$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.15 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked T1 | 54c | 558.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked T1 | 53c | 435.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.06 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…9bf1backed T1 | 44c | 405.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c76…fcc2backed T1 | 43c | 361.28$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed T1 | 45c | 322.44$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed T1 | 51c | 190.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed T1 | 45c | 184.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Nongshim RedForce | 67c | 164.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed T1 | 52c | 152.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 149$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Nongshim RedForce | 47c | 146.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 145$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed T1 | 34c | 132.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked T1 | 44c | 105.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked T1 | 43c | 97.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed T1 | 11c | 97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed T1 | 11c | 96.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked T1 | 60c | 87.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…d91cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 59c | 81.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed T1 | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked T1 | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked T1 | 46c | 65.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed T1 | 41c | 61.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked T1 | 44c | 56.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked T1 | 44c | 47.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a18…dac8backed T1 | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked T1 | 29c | 40.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 38.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 35.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Nongshim RedForce | 36c | 34.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…64c6backed Nongshim RedForce | 59c | 34.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 48c | 33.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked T1 | 44c | 32.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 32.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed T1 | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed T1 | 50c | 23.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked T1 | 60c | 21.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed T1 | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked T1 | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 60c | 19.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nongshim RedForce | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Nongshim RedForce | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.