Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf34cab3c4e624c73d87c92fef1bcf6b712e6387c183337b76e4848a1e7bb9e72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof T1, Nongshim RedForce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa103…1c14backed T1 | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 8,334$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.94 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nongshim RedForce | 49c | 4,403$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.52 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed T1 | 51c | 3,426$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.43 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Nongshim RedForce | 49c | 2,340$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.39 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed T1 | 52c | 2,202$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.51 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Nongshim RedForce | 49c | 1,948$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.72 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked T1 | 53c | 568.76$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.38 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 557.81$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.91 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 492$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed T1 | 51c | 420.27$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…9bf1backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 383.21$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.55 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 360.5$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed T1 | 51c | 294.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Nongshim RedForce | 47c | 280.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.12 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed T1 | 52c | 275$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed T1 | 51c | 196.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked T1 | 51c | 196.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 172$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked T1 | 51c | 131.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…a556backed T1 | 55c | 123.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Nongshim RedForce | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 63c | 104.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked T1 | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 58c | 99.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked T1 | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked T1 | 50c | 97.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 49c | 91.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…e597backed Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 89.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a46…2482backed Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 82.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 73.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…d91cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 70c | 67.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nongshim RedForce | 59c | 62.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed T1 | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked T1 | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 44.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed T1 | 51c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed T1 | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Nongshim RedForce | 46c | 39.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 38.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked T1 | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 35.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed T1 | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed T1 | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Nongshim RedForce | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed T1 | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked T1 | 51c | 24.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 23.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nongshim RedForce | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…a2adbacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Nongshim RedForce | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed T1 | 51c | 21.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nongshim RedForce | 65c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.