Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ccfe66b8e20cb8b54eba346b47c947275ac086bb7798232dd328b0f54464d10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 50c | 4,648$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.4 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 3,836$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.92 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 3,617$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.48 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 50c | 3,335$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.72 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 999.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Over | 20c | 745.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 619$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.47 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 28c | 511.01$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.63 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 422.51$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.68 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Under | 54c | 400$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 49c | 377.22$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.84 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 26c | 373.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 58c | 367.59$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.06 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 69c | 365.54$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…2fa5backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a2…c02bbacked Under | 57c | 234.06$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 232.16$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Over | 50c | 213.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…3d01backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Under | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 33c | 190.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 184.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 71c | 180.58$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…bbd5backed Over | 50c | 100.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…d2babacked Over | 49c | 98.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 70c | 94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Under | 62c | 93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 48c | 91.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 84.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Over | 50c | 82.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3570…35ddbacked Over | 32c | 78.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2d…4061backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 75c | 64.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 51c | 62.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Under | 72c | 56.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 148 | 31.1%46 W · 102 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Under | 62c | 50.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 51c | 48.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Under | 65c | 46.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…cc64backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 39.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Under | 74c | 32.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7b…332dbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 34.2%50 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 51c | 29.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 58c | 22.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 49c | 21.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -13.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.