Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x764ff2142173815254a7100eb29d58759b78b09ecb544a95feec36b7f0c3217b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Life Esportsof Hanwha Life Esports, Dplus KIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Hanwha Life Esports | 55c | 639.45$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.75 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…21acbacked Dplus KIA | 73c | 538.19$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 28c | 393.28$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.1 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Hanwha Life Esports | 27c | 314.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.81 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Dplus KIA | 59c | 270.7$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.03 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Dplus KIA | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 60.3%85 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hanwha Life Esports | 29c | 246.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Dplus KIA | 71c | 237.67$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Hanwha Life Esports | 51c | 212.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hanwha Life Esports | 25c | 209.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.26 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Hanwha Life Esports | 27c | 174$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0f…3656backed Dplus KIA | 74c | 149.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Dplus KIA | 45c | 132.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Dplus KIA | 48c | 102.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dplus KIA | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Dplus KIA | 72c | 97.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Dplus KIA | 73c | 95.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Hanwha Life Esports | 26c | 94.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 48.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Dplus KIA | 74c | 40.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Hanwha Life Esports | 54c | 37.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Dplus KIA | 40c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked Dplus KIA | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Dplus KIA | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 209 | 67%140 W · 69 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a3…3cdfbacked Dplus KIA | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Dplus KIA | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.