TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7096…11c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.99
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$40.99
Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.99
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$123.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.55
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$103.34
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+86%+$185
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$266.45
Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$89
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$211.19
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$218
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$213.6
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+279.9%+$300.59
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$252
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Newcastle vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+75.4%+$66.65
Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$83.77
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+90.6%+$180.6
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.1
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.2
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$109.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.69
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$120
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+45.6%+$44.76
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+491.7%+$1,994.4
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$504
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.19
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.01
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$242
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Kosovo win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$267
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$348.75
Will Sweden vs. Kosovo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.09
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$90.6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Nemiga (BO3)backed Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$37.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$38.77
Counter-Strike: Dusty Roots vs Game Hunters (BO3)backed Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$122.97
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Nexus (BO3)backed Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+39.3%+$36.7
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Spirit Academy (BO3)backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$24.79
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+85.2%+$33.07
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$65
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+172.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-64.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+173.8%+$86.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+400%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+900%+$900
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Public vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$82.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.