Fifa International · resolved market
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde6e8331eaaf0b212f688a04f6c4ff5f895ab633a467cb3e9f3da48fce7c6801
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 674 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 26,268$6,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,447.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 73c | 25,000$18,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,624.92 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 22c | 15,333$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.92 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 71c | 14,766$10,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,282.1 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 22c | 11,400$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.58 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Yes | 25c | 7,397$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.23 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 21c | 6,931$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…45aebacked Yes | 29c | 6,868$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.3 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…8f97backed Yes | 10c | 6,689$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.15 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 74c | 6,286$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.74 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…dbe3backed Yes | 28c | 6,010$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 75c | 5,654$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.93 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.97 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 75c | 4,512$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.22 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…1a96backed No | 76c | 4,001$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…a5c6backed Yes | 27c | 3,645$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…7d14backed Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,363$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…22a1backed Yes | 32c | 3,165$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 10c | 3,117$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.66 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 22c | 3,070$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.2 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 3c | 3,046$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 21c | 3,021$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.53 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.67 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,954$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.52 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 72c | 2,877$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.14 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 68c | 2,805$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.6 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 25c | 2,725$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.25 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf082…a593backed Yes | 29c | 2,586$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 2,561$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.54 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,492$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes | 20c | 2,394$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 20c | 2,386$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.3 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…e8d4backed Yes | 27c | 2,318$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.66 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 16c | 2,175$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.25 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 27c | 2,143$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.6 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 19c | 2,119$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.92 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…c71bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,005$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,918$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.67 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 27c | 1,883$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed No | 74c | 1,870$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.71 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…587ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…12a5backed No | 77c | 1,826$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.73 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 27c | 1,781$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 28c | 1,760$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.5 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…1a81backed Yes | 27c | 1,748$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…7b59backed Yes | 20c | 1,667$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…5208backed Yes | 20c | 1,648$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed No | 72c | 1,590$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked No | 71c | 1,544$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.86 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 17c | 1,542$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.08 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No | 79c | 1,535$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.21 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…326dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,522$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.94 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…c0e2backed Yes | 12c | 1,423$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,401$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.37 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…83cdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,378$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.93 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 80c | 1,355$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.96 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 17c | 1,324$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…8d86backed No | 76c | 1,312$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…000fbacked No | 74c | 1,300$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,290$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,256$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 73c | 1,236$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 75c | 1,216$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.96 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…c9c7backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…3f30backed Yes | 25c | 1,150$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…e320backed Yes | 27c | 1,130$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 72c | 1,098$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.47 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed No | 73c | 1,085$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.82 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed No | 73c | 1,080$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,069$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,054$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045b…ba94backed Yes | 25c | 1,039$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6f…72f2backed Yes | 29c | 1,036$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Yes | 24c | 1,034$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.27 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 15c | 1,031$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…6840backed Yes | 29c | 1,026$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3270…292fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8b…645cbacked Yes | 21c | 970.24$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 964.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…06bdbacked No | 73c | 961.62$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 26c | 960$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 70c | 933.95$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7a…0c40backed No | 73c | 926.69$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.58 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed Yes | 16c | 910.9$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 29c | 905.71$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.29 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ff…8876backed Yes | 31c | 890.65$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 27c | 887$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.53 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 8c | 864.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Yes | 21c | 864.37$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.52 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…2bfebacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 73c | 769.19$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.49 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 71c | 759.99$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.