TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x975b…149b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$526
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$609.43
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$133.84
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$231.51
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$106.52
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$104.33
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.8
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.3
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110.56
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$106.08
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$109.87
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$160.3
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$54.47
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42.37
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.15
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$119.53
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$66.93
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$113.49
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$209.49
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.03
Will Ghana finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GamerLegion make it to the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.72
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.82
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.37
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.84
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Phantom (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$20.54
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$39.86
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$43.54
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$71.17
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$43.5
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$66.92
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.56
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$19.24
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Sangal (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.25
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Liquid (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.04
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.66
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs OlyBet SB (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Cbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.93
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$56.37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+178.4%+$96.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$25.77
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$29.18
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.89
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$183.33
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.07
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+150%+$150
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 20 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhongyi Tan vs. Rameshbabu Vaishali end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.76
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-14 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$59.21
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-12 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.28
Will Aleksandra Goryachkina vs. Rameshbabu Vaishali end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$90.09
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-09 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.64
Will Rameshbabu Vaishali win on 2026-04-09 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Women?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.56
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$87.94
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78.83
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.04
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-01 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.62
Speed Chess QF: Firouzja vs Nepomniachtchibacked Firouzja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$26.73
Will Fabiano Caruana win the Sinquefield Cup 2025 chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$761
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$273.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$109.93
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$269.96
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$239
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Piastri?backed Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$10.84
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+382.6%+$158.79
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.8%+$159.29
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Leclerc vs. Russellbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$645.5
Hamilton vs. Russellbacked Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$461.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$213.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vinícius Júnior record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.86
Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+50%+$82.61
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$578.65
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$1,264.79
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$26.93
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$235.13
Will Internazionale win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.66
Borussia Dortmund vs. Ulsan: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.87
Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$159.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$132.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$95.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$30.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RMD Gaming vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win a Grand Slam tournament in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami beat Nashville SC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$43.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.