Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eb1bc16d5b9dfe3a2a0264082536b6d0d024433c6da83bd72231409cf423c63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…06b4backed No | 1c | 4,453$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 5c | 3,663$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.07 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,327$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…65d8backed No | 7c | 2,591$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 11c | 2,581$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.92 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…87b1backed No | 10c | 2,345$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 8c | 2,088$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…d1ecbacked No | 1c | 1,435$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…65abbacked No | 9c | 1,301$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e677backed No | 9c | 1,260$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 29cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9125…bf41backed No | 8c | 1,244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed No | 14c | 1,089$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 8c | 1,033$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…03b8backed No | 11c | 1,019$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 8c | 1,013$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 10c | 999$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6e…f132backed No | 10c | 989.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…b602backed No | 8c | 958.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 10c | 935.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 8c | 916.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa465…6b06backed No | 11c | 914.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 12c | 782.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 775$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 10c | 765.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 12c | 747.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…8f44backed No | 12c | 695.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 8c | 685.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…43d1backed No | 15c | 685.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…ddf0backed No | 9c | 683.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1f…86c4backed No | 10c | 676.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 645.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed No | 11c | 495.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…0e21backed No | 8c | 481.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 474$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 443.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 9c | 427.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 8c | 406.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed No | 8c | 380.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked No | 8c | 360.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 9c | 359.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 9c | 348.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac3abacked No | 7c | 319.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 8c | 319$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 171 | 29.2%50 W · 121 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 8c | 315.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…33ebbacked No | 20c | 299.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 110 | 16.4%18 W · 92 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked No | 11c | 296.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 7c | 272.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 5c | 266.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7778…261dbacked No | 9c | 250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 11c | 210$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3246…63dfbacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked No | 17c | 199.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked No | 10c | 198.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 9c | 180.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 6c | 174.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 9c | 174.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…93f5backed No | 11c | 164.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed No | 10c | 162.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 10c | 148.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 10c | 145.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a17…70c6backed No | 8c | 145.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebe…5d8dbacked No | 9c | 143.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a9…a9c0backed No | 9c | 142.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1a…e529backed No | 14c | 141.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 11c | 140.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…b590backed No | 9c | 139.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27f…e6cabacked No | 11c | 129.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 11c | 127.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…34a3backed No | 11c | 127.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 126.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec20…c74bbacked No | 8c | 125.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…db2ebacked No | 17c | 123.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…f673backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x608a…4f33backed No | 10c | 117.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3b…93a0backed No | 11c | 117.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 10c | 108.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked No | 11c | 107.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked No | 11c | 101.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…c0a4backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…f190backed No | 14c | 79.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 73c | 23.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 78c | 22.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?this page
- Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Armenia by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Hungary by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Israel by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Ukraine by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.