Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb0e552d6f091014a59af8bbe5b7e86ba2d0a4dcfcb509f0e66a48184e96519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629f…6babbacked Yes | 1c | 6,036$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…c9b7backed Yes | 16c | 1,655$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked No | 73c | 1,304$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 9c | 1,172$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e2…1a7cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,007$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +268%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed Yes | 6c | 999.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 866.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 17c | 860$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 27c | 672$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…e61bbacked Yes | 18c | 647.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…6487backed Yes | 27c | 632$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 14c | 621.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…d1bbbacked Yes | 2c | 558.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +148%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…80b5backed Yes | 13c | 538$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16b…6a8bbacked Yes | 11c | 527$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a597backed Yes | 17c | 517.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05f…ea07backed Yes | 10c | 486$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…0e71backed Yes | 12c | 436$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…b5f5backed Yes | 11c | 426$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed No | 80c | 406$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Yes | 20c | 406$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7933…bff2backed Yes | 17c | 377$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…5a54backed Yes | 13c | 370$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…184fbacked Yes | 15c | 367.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce5…6d01backed Yes | 12c | 362$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 11c | 336.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…e1c7backed Yes | 13c | 328$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…d8b6backed Yes | 13c | 328$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes | 32c | 318.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 9c | 315.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…99e3backed Yes | 13c | 314$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…722dbacked Yes | 14c | 292$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…ca39backed Yes | 14c | 292$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…d56bbacked Yes | 11c | 284.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +185.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…6bbabacked Yes | 13c | 271$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3c…54a8backed Yes | 9c | 246.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 20cpaid | +174.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…2bd8backed Yes | 12c | 243$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…7ba7backed Yes | 10c | 243$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db2…5c06backed Yes | 12c | 243$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…9310backed Yes | 14c | 224$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ca…b986backed Yes | 14c | 224$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…9618backed Yes | 13c | 222$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1108backed Yes | 14c | 218$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b9…4a80backed Yes | 14c | 218$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…25babacked Yes | 7c | 216.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…3dd8backed Yes | 14c | 209$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1684…2e6cbacked Yes | 14c | 205$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…68eebacked Yes | 25c | 199.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9205…4193backed Yes | 9c | 194$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9d…8bfcbacked Yes | 12c | 194$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 191.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…2faabacked Yes | 14c | 185$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…56e8backed Yes | 14c | 185$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…e4c4backed Yes | 15c | 179$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 7c | 173.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2980…6ad5backed Yes | 15c | 166$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 32c | 164.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x082a…d0b0backed Yes | 17c | 162$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…0fd2backed Yes | 17c | 162$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5e…f6e0backed Yes | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…4c38backed Yes | 14c | 159$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…3cccbacked Yes | 13c | 159$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…845cbacked Yes | 14c | 159$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9e…1fdfbacked Yes | 14c | 157$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…12d0backed Yes | 14c | 151$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…6c47backed Yes | 14c | 151$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…0f0fbacked Yes | 14c | 147$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 16c | 137.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6afe…c610backed Yes | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681e…b12bbacked Yes | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…e7bbbacked Yes | 14c | 124$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…1c95backed Yes | 11c | 124$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…7998backed Yes | 11c | 121$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…4f08backed Yes | 11c | 119$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…17e4backed Yes | 14c | 111$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…a9cbbacked Yes | 14c | 97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…c142backed Yes | 14c | 97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…a7c8backed Yes | 11c | 97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c2…db1bbacked Yes | 11c | 97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d3…f362backed Yes | 22c | 93.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41b…2771backed Yes | 16c | 89.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632c…8842backed Yes | 13c | 88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…196abacked Yes | 23c | 87.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 79c | 85.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes | 13c | 75.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc748…a1f8backed Yes | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd57…8c8ebacked Yes | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 17c | 72.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…b309backed Yes | 45c | 66.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked Yes | 16c | 65.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4401…aea5backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 22cpaid | -94%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Yes | 27c | 59.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 55.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 99 | 81.8%81 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 76c | 52.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…1443backed No | 79c | 50.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 50.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 70c | 29.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 84 | 82.1%69 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 49c | 25.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 119 | 9.2%11 W · 108 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e7…d3a5backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?this page
- Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Armenia by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Hungary by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Israel by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Ukraine by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.