Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ab7b9ae3916af18d595447d73d98bb99005016f0a1db622c7dea7307430a49a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 17c | 6,624$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.27 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…1515backed Yes | 7c | 6,164$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes | 10c | 3,502$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.05 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81a…8a17backed Yes | 10c | 2,574$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…54c6backed No | 79c | 2,500$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b3…b017backed No | 42c | 2,444$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.81 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…b602backed Yes | 65c | 2,131$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…360fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,014$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…4c8bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,795$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.62 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 3c | 1,637$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a6…8b84backed No | 64c | 1,631$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.36 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed Yes | 8c | 1,550$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…5e6dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,448$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 31c | 1,425$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.76 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…fe71backed Yes | 21c | 1,318$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…edbebacked Yes | 3c | 1,292$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed Yes | 13c | 1,244$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +110%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 50c | 1,098$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.92 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 1,093$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 12c | 1,025$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…184fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,023$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…06b4backed Yes | 26c | 994.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed No | 55c | 960$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.43 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b4…fd80backed Yes | 11c | 929.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 56c | 913$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 44c | 913$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.72 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 20c | 880.11$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.82 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 814.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed No | 79c | 809$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 801.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes | 19c | 796.25$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…82e1backed No | 75c | 726.62$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.95 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed Yes | 12c | 715$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 689.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…461dbacked Yes | 2c | 658.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…1572backed Yes | 45c | 634.04$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 51c | 612.41$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.32 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…2f72backed Yes | 6c | 575.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…e296backed No | 79c | 509$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…efb2backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 31c | 491.66$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.82 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 7c | 484.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed Yes | 66c | 484$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.84 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 79c | 475.87$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…7ec1backed Yes | 10c | 465.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed No | 60c | 462.71$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.61 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 32c | 424$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.15 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x59bc…3d81backed Yes | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 68c | 384.95$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 18c | 358$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 9c | 353.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 56c | 335.9$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd3…cb60backed Yes | 3c | 324$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 53c | 307.97$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.59 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…4d69backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…9487backed Yes | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…a2aabacked No | 44c | 281.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.17 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…5fecbacked Yes | 4c | 257.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed No | 61c | 241.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 69c | 236.46$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes | 6c | 235.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 77c | 234$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 23c | 234$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…491bbacked No | 71c | 210$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked Yes | 54c | 205.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…beebbacked Yes | 10c | 204.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…cbd9backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…051cbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +206.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 29c | 193.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 8c | 193.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16df…1b0bbacked Yes | 6c | 176.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 19c | 176$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9125…bf41backed Yes | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…0a67backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e7…d3a5backed Yes | 32c | 143$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 9c | 141.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…2fe9backed No | 54c | 139.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…a63bbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 65c | 111$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c60…5c52backed No | 78c | 109.31$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…ba87backed Yes | 13c | 104.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed Yes | 30c | 103.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 13c | 103.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 30c | 94.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 53c | 93.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 26c | 86.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 46c | 86.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fa…4f2dbacked Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cde…af21backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b3…77b6backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +16.5wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a17…70c6backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed Yes | 33c | 47.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…a9d0backed No | 34c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…8646backed Yes | 28c | 43.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?this page
- Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Armenia by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Hungary by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Israel by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Ukraine by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.