TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc60…af79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: UFC, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 59 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT3930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $10M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,975
Over $9M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Over $8M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Over $7M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.36
Over $6M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Over $4M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.76
Over $3M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.34
Over $1M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.44
Over $750k committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.41
Over $250k committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Over $500k committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.68
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,804.56
Space FDV above $120M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$357.64
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,925Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$1,075
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$245.87
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11,196.33
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32,830.67
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+60.4%+$33.9
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,071.34
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,309.98
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$406.11
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$5,968.46
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+32.4%+$330.58
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,691Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+115.5%+$6,574.58
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.83
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110.85
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.94
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.1
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.99
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,286Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$412.76
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.26
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,046.99
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,817.41
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,618.92
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$8,238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$2,661.04
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,600.56
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+640.7%+$864.96
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,478.51
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12,198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$3,340.41
Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$436.89
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$844Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$669.06
Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$180.15
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,674Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$1,936.74
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$680
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,992Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+264.2%+$5,263.88
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.58
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,249.99
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,298.26
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.13
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,089Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+34%+$2,411
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.56
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.99
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.79
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$134.55
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 54m and 58m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$940.6
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.35
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.98
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+340.7%+$1,674.48
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$156
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$929.99
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11,866Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$5,686.75
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$100.05
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.13
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$940
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$21.66
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$580
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$8,025Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$2,827.67
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,053Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$1,535.71
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$1,573.47
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,598.4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,407Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,406.54
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$646.05
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+2,400%+$959.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,110
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12,879.96
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,933.14
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$5,070.19
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$630
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$136.7
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,524Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,523.7
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$689.98
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+203%+$67
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29.66
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$232
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+83.9%+$662.69
Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,626Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+28.5%+$1,317.9
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+222.6%+$66.77
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.76
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kanebacked Mbappe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.9
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$893.6
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$66.2
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.24
World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,573.74
World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "McGregor" 20+ times during McGregor vs Holloway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$234.39
Will the announcers say "Holloway" 20+ times during McGregor vs Holloway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Will the announcers say "Knockout," "Knock Out," or "Knocked Out" during McGregor vs Holloway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$128.1
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.82
Will the announcers say "White House" or "Trump" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$117.5
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$520.41
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-47.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+91.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+56.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,027Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+97.4%+$1,973.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$220
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.