Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d293b5476217f3a22e2ec52d43ca27914a4aa7736061e92d9c00550ec8ed4f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,574,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,614,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,574,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed Yes | 0c | 200,204$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…efe7backed Yes | 0c | 110,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…a509backed Yes | 0c | 99,130$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…4c8bbacked Yes | 0c | 51,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.66 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…48e4backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504d…98dcbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dc…b433backed Yes | 0c | 39,944$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…3131backed Yes | 0c | 31,520$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…444ebacked Yes | 3c | 31,265$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…1dd9backed Yes | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…a63bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 3c | 28,219$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.06 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 0c | 23,220$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 2cpaid | +428.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…ba4fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe685…56abbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…1247backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed Yes | 2c | 19,418$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.44 | 104 | 17.3%18 W · 86 L | -13.7wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad0…1153backed Yes | 0c | 18,004$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…b602backed Yes | 18c | 16,053$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1356…7485backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…4b60backed Yes | 0c | 12,900$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…b74fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,030$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…8638backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…cf2ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 7cpaid | +332.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3220…52a7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 36c | 7,743$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.15 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Yes | 70c | 6,159$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +178.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 61c | 5,704$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.68 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 1c | 5,420$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 0c | 5,040$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9db…a30ebacked Yes | 79c | 4,416$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…c9a0backed Yes | 3c | 3,774$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d1…734cbacked Yes | 37c | 3,615$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.9 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 34c | 3,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.84 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 11c | 3,327$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.84 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 71c | 3,200$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.54 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7639…cbddbacked Yes | 11c | 3,006$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 64c | 2,902$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.54 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed Yes | 13c | 2,522$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…1572backed No | 54c | 2,500$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…fe0fbacked No | 69c | 2,450$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.07 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 32c | 2,382$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.12 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed No | 20c | 2,301$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.55 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…cd38backed No | 77c | 2,159$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.87 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 64c | 2,130$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.82 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…37d1backed Yes | 4c | 2,099$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…08fabacked No | 40c | 2,024$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.99 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 30c | 1,977$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.17 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed Yes | 42c | 1,956$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed Yes | 18c | 1,883$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.14 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +25.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked Yes | 63c | 1,874$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.12 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,835$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.31 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 65c | 1,811$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.97 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 65c | 1,800$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.19 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 70c | 1,639$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.09 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…af68backed Yes | 21c | 1,624$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.18 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 12c | 1,575$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…7a70backed No | 20c | 1,540$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.41 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…ae40backed No | 78c | 1,524$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +138%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…cadabacked Yes | 66c | 1,521$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 49c | 1,499$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.16 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…04cabacked Yes | 8c | 1,466$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed No | 61c | 1,465$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.55 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed No | 28c | 1,431$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked Yes | 18c | 1,425$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.15 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +13.5wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…13a7backed Yes | 71c | 1,400$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 60c | 1,395$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.01 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…a31ebacked No | 36c | 1,383$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 23c | 1,350$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.83 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…b882backed No | 21c | 1,346$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.04 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…08f7backed No | 68c | 1,340$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 75c | 1,317$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.66 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…566dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,315$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.34 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed No | 68c | 1,310$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 13c | 1,237$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed Yes | 13c | 1,232$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 70c | 1,232$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.17 | 103 | 27.2%28 W · 75 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed Yes | 1c | 1,063$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…e08cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,060$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,038$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.95 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 79c | 1,027$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.13 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 24c | 1,026$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.28 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…2264backed Yes | 1c | 1,005$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 34c | 1,000$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked No | 40c | 1,000$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.76 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…dc0bbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked No | 30c | 1,000$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.4 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 27c | 987.25$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.85 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 16c | 948.45$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.06 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 32c | 945$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…1b4cbacked Yes | 5c | 942.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…19c8backed Yes | 32c | 940$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…293ebacked No | 80c | 913.98$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 39c | 900.15$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.15 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked No | 63c | 900$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.21 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed Yes | 22c | 890$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…65abbacked No | 24c | 873.34$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.95 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 10c | 865.21$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran strike Oman again in March?this page
- Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Armenia by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Germany by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Hungary by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike India in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Iraq in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Israel again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Israel in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Italy by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Oman in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Poland by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Qatar again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Qatar in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Syria in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Turkey in March?No won
- Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike UAE in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Ukraine by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Yemen in March?No won
- Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.