Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72f770dc7780775ebf105e096e96b23a12cf3f4d2cac4d534d841ea2d4aa75e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91dd…6780backed Yes | 76c | 1,688$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b1…8f35backed No | 20c | 1,505$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed No | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…3df7backed No | 29c | 1,026$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd32…3eabbacked No | 17c | 1,002$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked Yes | 62c | 965.51$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.93 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 77c | 933.12$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.28 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 38c | 911.78$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.12 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 21c | 745.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9458…c97fbacked No | 13c | 739.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0e…9818backed Yes | 54c | 636.74$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +118%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed No | 57c | 607$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked Yes | 43c | 607$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.78 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf7…0b92backed No | 11c | 554.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 17c | 525.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 29c | 502.73$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.41 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…05bfbacked Yes | 74c | 461.71$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.33 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…6f23backed No | 13c | 457.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…33ebbacked No | 13c | 450$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 110 | 16.4%18 W · 92 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…c744backed No | 45c | 389.5$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5074…0b95backed No | 10c | 383.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 78c | 381.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes | 53c | 379.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.05 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 20c | 372.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…b6f4backed No | 10c | 356.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…2747backed No | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed No | 4c | 299.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…9072backed No | 13c | 278.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…e996backed No | 18c | 276.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked No | 36c | 274.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 14c | 252.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…6575backed No | 8c | 246.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…94f7backed No | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…102abacked No | 47c | 235.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…8e7bbacked No | 19c | 234.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d2…b1c7backed No | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 36c | 199.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…db5cbacked Yes | 66c | 190$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…31b1backed No | 13c | 170.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…a691backed No | 34c | 160$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…f5a1backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…8440backed No | 12c | 142.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 34c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…25f1backed No | 37c | 108.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…39b2backed No | 25c | 101.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…4793backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…ea5dbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 70c | 99.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked No | 21c | 97.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec20…c74bbacked No | 16c | 93.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac72…07c1backed No | 13c | 85.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 52c | 81.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 77c | 69.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 69.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 19c | 68.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…7aa8backed Yes | 66c | 63.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 79c | 63.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…3920backed No | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc717…7c96backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 61c | 59.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…1b4cbacked Yes | 53c | 56.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 32c | 52.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…8326backed No | 55c | 52.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…5864backed No | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf75a…ee78backed No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b50…3ca9backed No | 64c | 46.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7755…25ccbacked No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff6…992bbacked Yes | 37c | 37.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…f8b3backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc355…61d4backed Yes | 75c | 33.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47d…fb65backed Yes | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 45cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 77c | 31.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 65c | 30.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed Yes | 64c | 28.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe879…6d22backed Yes | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…a9d0backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3689…e964backed Yes | 66c | 24.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…312dbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2d…cb6bbacked Yes | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…3a3ebacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?this page
- Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Armenia by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Germany by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Hungary by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike India in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Iraq in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Israel again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Israel in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Italy by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Oman again in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Oman in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Poland by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Qatar again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Qatar in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Syria in March?No won
- Will Iran strike Turkey in March?No won
- Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike UAE in March?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Ukraine by March 31?No won
- Will Iran strike Yemen in March?No won
- Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.