TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac72…07c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3225%8 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+72.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+1,228.7%+$188.69
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+340.7%+$51.1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+348.9%+$45.36
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,946.4%+$268.99
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.77
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$37.17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.41
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+320.7%+$86.59
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$11.28
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$42.98
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+716.3%+$100.29
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$79.1
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+70.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+93.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+234.4%+$39.86
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+81.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+262.6%+$47.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Linda Noskova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Kigali 2: Max Houkes vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$50.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.91
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+599.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+599.3%+$61.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.