MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5476f81745a1798c81b61ac20dae1d164eb0d7afda56e7cd98c8aa3576eb88a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Arizona Diamondbacks, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $629,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $633,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $629,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 101,220$24,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,803.44 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 43,103$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,103.45 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…307cbacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 35,250$26,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,313.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 26,309$7,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,425.77 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 22,391$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 20,152$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 19,433$11,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,967.35 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 17,489$10,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,345.39 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 15,053$11,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,728.2 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 13,303$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,986.34 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 8c | 12,327$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.07 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 9,488$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.26 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 8,718$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.18 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 8,480$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.56 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 8,302$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 7,915$5,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 7,594$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.6 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 7,405$5,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.45 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 6,985$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.3 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 6,732$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.9 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 18c | 6,283$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.13 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 5,902$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.23 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 5,714$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 5,500$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 5,268$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.95 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 5,200$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.5 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 5,166$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.95 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 5,100$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0533…8acdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 5,095$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 5,000$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.23 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 4,900$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.81 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 4,872$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.22 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 4,748$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.02 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 4,540$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.6 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 4,470$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.67 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 4,294$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.15 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 4,276$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.84 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 4,054$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.54 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 3,790$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 3,334$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.28 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…82abbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 3,242$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 3,210$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 3,101$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.93 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.97 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 2,935$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.84 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 2,513$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 2,490$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.87 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 2,316$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.92 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…02acbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,314$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 2,200$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 2,157$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.79 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,910$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.58 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,910$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.42 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,827$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.69 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 1,705$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 1,670$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.46 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 1,658$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 1,637$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.92 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,582$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.94 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,489$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.09 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,481$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.62 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,481$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.67 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 1,334$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.73 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 1,296$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.03 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…12e9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,225$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd117…9314backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,223$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Chicago Cubs | 80c | 1,214$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.13 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,180$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.96 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.99 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 1,095$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Chicago Cubs | 74c | 1,021$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.78 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,009$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.78 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Chicago Cubs | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 999.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 968.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 945.2$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.42 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 873$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.35 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 804.95$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.03 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 804.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb59…1d47backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 759.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…bfe7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 755.6$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 719.79$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.16 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 650$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 643.81$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 639.73$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.88 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 626.05$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.73 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Chicago Cubs | 80c | 625.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.06 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.