MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e7a54ec7c71eaf1b601f300cd64564c3e05b5df60cd0138d562ceaa19b83322
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x986b…12e9backed Over | 44c | 101,800$44,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,007.73 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 49c | 32,364$15,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,532.97 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 16,251$5,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,383.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 56c | 14,754$8,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,262.2 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 53c | 13,370$7,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,076.42 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 10c | 9,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f78…f679backed Under | 56c | 8,624$4,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Under | 56c | 6,650$3,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.72 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 36c | 4,232$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.3 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 3,079$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 39c | 3,015$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.68 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 34c | 2,779$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.77 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Under | 56c | 2,411$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 45c | 2,223$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.86 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 79c | 2,221$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.62 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 12c | 2,099$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Over | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.99 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 1,995$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Over | 44c | 1,581$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 42c | 1,548$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.04 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 1,334$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.74 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 981.56$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.41 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 55c | 859.97$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.98 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Under | 55c | 804.17$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 42c | 783.09$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.47 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 47c | 629$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.37 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Over | 44c | 622.31$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Over | 44c | 525.83$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 44c | 400.1$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.06 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Under | 54c | 374.3$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.65 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 369.47$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 56c | 353.57$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 45c | 316.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 309.72$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.87 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 299.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 53c | 281.1$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 47c | 272.56$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.78 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 51c | 265$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 44c | 236.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 45c | 229.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…5fb4backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 214$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 55c | 199.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 45c | 195.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 189.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 55c | 179.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Over | 44c | 175.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 55c | 158.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 56c | 146.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…414ebacked Under | 41c | 145.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 46c | 133.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 46c | 131.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 44c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…ad43backed Over | 47c | 105.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 50c | 104.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Under | 10c | 102.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 55c | 86.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 45c | 86.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 59c | 82.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Over | 44c | 77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 25c | 68.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…44bcbacked Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…3d67backed Over | 46c | 64.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 37c | 57.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…9c13backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 39c | 54.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…e508backed Over | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…fc66backed Under | 51c | 53.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 38c | 50.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…2159backed Under | 56c | 49.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Over | 46c | 48.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.