TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2573…2726

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
411
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT23051.7%119 W · 111 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 230 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$89.57
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$56.98
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.67
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$156.67
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$46.4
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.34
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.34
Showing 25 of 230 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT6456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$79.81
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$170.95
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$234.67
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$76.59
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+64%+$228.98
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$244.4
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+43%+$98.49
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$119.52
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$74.08
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.49
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT5354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.59
Faria vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.85
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$41.11
Cobolli vs. Tien: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Ruud vs. Paul: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Set 1 Winner: Perricard vs Djokovicbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$17.9
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$43.94
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublikbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$36.49
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Laslo Djerebacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$57.93
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.31
Hamburg European Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ignacio Busebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23.86
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT3565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27.82
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$76.44
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$77.83
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$26.57
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$14.85
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$42.27
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$110.92
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$38.33
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.89
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$70.91
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$87.88
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$48.63
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$51
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.17
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$68.51
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62.45
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$45.07
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.59
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$56.58
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$33.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.