TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over45c81,350$36,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,457.375940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c44,655$24,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,094.756,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Under55c42,499$23,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,124.410459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c21,390$9,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,625.611,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under53c6,830$3,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.6555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Under56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2004465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Under55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3504761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under55c1,780$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c1,511$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.961,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over45c1,461$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.257342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over45c1,449$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6521942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c1,390$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0818140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over45c1,212$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.432045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under44c1,175$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.91,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c1,165$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.8564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Under50c1,144$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.944362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c1,075$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.222,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over49c1,020$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.051,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under77c1,015$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.5314953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under16c1,000$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c998.51$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under55c919.33$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.715759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under48c757.64$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.4110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Under20c641.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.794748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over57c633.21$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.9336051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Under55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4514443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed Over46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25060%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22523742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over57c457.19$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb17…3329backed Under55c419.42$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.74944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Under55c364$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under56c360.9$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.880653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Under58c360$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.59438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under55c357.17$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6462144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6170…03bdbacked Under56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over56c352.11$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.946038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over58c340.6$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.557152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c331.17$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.031,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over62c326.69$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5918941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d4…3f96backed Over46c322.26$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+108.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under54c322.21$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2212540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over44c287.66$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.823836.8%14 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-36.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x37a8…1866backed Under55c265.07$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7817…8812backed Over78c240$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.21872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4147…e9a1backed Under54c239.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.351675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+60.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Under54c230.84$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.845259.6%31 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under58c214.76$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3725554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under55c214.5$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.230448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over46c213.92$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Under55c210.64$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6412147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over45c195.57$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.011,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd053…114cbacked Over47c187.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+124.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under55c177.23$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.291,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over57c175.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2225150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over45c172$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.434850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…29ffbacked Over46c159.8$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over54c139$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3321640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Under39c127.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.864431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over46c118.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6320647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over54c111$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.941,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Under55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.096456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over57c109.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1618557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72d…e6fabacked Under55c105.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.453946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under61c105$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9519548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over46c102.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4718743.3%81 W · 106 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa19…e444backed Under55c101.51$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.681485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+71.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.59845.9%45 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over58c89.28$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over55c80.54$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0260250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe997…f92ebacked Under55c80.35$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.162975.9%22 W · 7 L+6.2wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Under55c63.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over52c55.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.96636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x292c…7756backed Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under54c54.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0286641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5711648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over46c53.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Over45c52.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.586524.6%16 W · 49 L-11.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Under46c52.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.171838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Over53c46.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6225944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Under46c46.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.893333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over57c41.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0304…a3f6backed Over46c40.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.491643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over57c39.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8821953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7752…8681backed Under76c39.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.582462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under76c39.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.287561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over45c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.127450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.126147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed Under72c37.26$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90c…5907backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3610548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under50c34.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2417237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Over58c34.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.057154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x565c…f3c0backed Over46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over47c32.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2330616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.