NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73f04e811809b775c050fbe68386b84722363089bf7a72fcb080ade08629bb1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Knicks, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Spurs | 61c | 5,525$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.71 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 39c | 5,259$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.43 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks | 33c | 2,339$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.8 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 62c | 2,160$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 75c | 2,093$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks | 14c | 2,015$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.9 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 29c | 1,593$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.23 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Knicks | 39c | 1,271$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.62 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…5794backed Knicks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +13.2wins | +0.35per pick | 44cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Knicks | 8c | 653.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Knicks | 12c | 643$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Knicks | 28c | 576.93$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Spurs | 66c | 539.13$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Knicks | 38c | 536.81$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs | 69c | 509$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.65 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 67c | 501$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.33 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Knicks | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9f…ff90backed Knicks | 39c | 381.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks | 8c | 360.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Knicks | 26c | 351.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Knicks | 38c | 325.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…73a2backed Spurs | 61c | 314.25$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs | 66c | 281.89$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 69c | 260.21$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…c9b8backed Knicks | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Knicks | 39c | 247.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Spurs | 62c | 216.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Spurs | 62c | 209.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks | 25c | 206.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Knicks | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks | 11c | 193.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 61c | 186.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b4…73a6backed Spurs | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Knicks | 33c | 147$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Knicks | 38c | 139.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Spurs | 71c | 119.21$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks | 38c | 113.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Spurs | 76c | 112.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2c…3dc9backed Spurs | 61c | 111.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Knicks | 38c | 106.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…8821backed Spurs | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Spurs | 71c | 103.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Knicks | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Spurs | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 75c | 76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…77b3backed Knicks | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 60c | 60.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…0098backed Spurs | 63c | 58.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34bb…f3e4backed Knicks | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spurs | 61c | 46.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Knicks | 30c | 46.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs | 60c | 45.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…abc9backed Spurs | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Knicks | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Spurs | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Knicks | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Spurs | 68c | 25.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked Knicks | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…40b0backed Spurs | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.