TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks40c4,886$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.3293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs35c4,618$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.1911333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef34…2065backed Knicks54c3,668$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.14785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+83.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks65c2,710$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.5925352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs73c2,702$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.331,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs50c2,357$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.1930551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks51c2,200$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07842842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs46c2,073$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.5555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs36c2,040$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.818445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Spurs52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04018743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks23c1,883$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.8219246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Spurs37c1,528$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.285435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks40c1,291$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.491,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks63c1,272$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.576,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs35c1,064$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.41,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Knicks17c1,008$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.7762144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks10c924.44$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.3718140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Spurs36c814.61$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.265743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs36c787.23$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.1264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks65c688.27$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.4252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs75c576.89$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.4568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs57c548.13$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1753878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks65c495.56$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.091,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks64c483.81$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1731,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked Knicks22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.551747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks65c392.82$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks65c391.92$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4830448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks66c378.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9411239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs71c304.01$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7718941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks45c301$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5534255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b7e…857ebacked Spurs48c285.73$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Spurs36c278.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs14c267$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.512,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Spurs35c248.57$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks64c201.38$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.791,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Knicks48c199.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.993951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Spurs45c188.04$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6221046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs72c186$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.011,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks57c178.58$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6660250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks64c165.5$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5813161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs64c147$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3732654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Spurs36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Spurs9c137$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6965630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Knicks53c125.74$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1820558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks64c114.03$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.051,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f99…5936backed Knicks65c110$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…3378backed Knicks66c102$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs62c101.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Knicks64c100.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e2…6e01backed Knicks50c100.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs35c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.58355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Spurs53c94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.422532%8 W · 17 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-41.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6be8…f449backed Spurs36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309644.8%43 W · 53 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x091f…9dffbacked Spurs36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Knicks21c71.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.433661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53f1…35f8backed Spurs72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed Knicks66c65.53$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.282576%19 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Knicks64c62.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.510548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs43c62.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6317237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79f3…be50backed Spurs36c61.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.026342.9%27 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks51c58.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6310944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c4…256ebacked Spurs37c54.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20205%1 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.29per pick34cpaid-89.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks53c51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9717946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3637652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Spurs36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Knicks44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2825340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf317…b22fbacked Spurs36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+58.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Knicks65c49.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spurs68c49.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.469853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4844…8ddabacked Knicks55c46.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd388…2985backed Spurs35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x461b…7360backed Knicks65c40.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Knicks45c39.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.731866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Spurs77c36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.726141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs74c35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.912150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Spurs35c32.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x565c…f3c0backed Knicks66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.310855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Knicks54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.833556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Knicks64c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7133356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Spurs65c23.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.181827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Spurs52c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.965350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c2…2034backed Knicks66c22.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Spurs53c22.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2430616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Spurs52c21.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Spurs55c21.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8710152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks66c20.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0125554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Knicks64c20.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.213256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Knicks65c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.626755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.