TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs42c12,738$5,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,356.5264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Knicks59c4,620$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.186841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks50c3,246$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.0742842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks47c2,936$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.9653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs50c1,812$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.692,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Knicks60c1,620$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64816740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks59c1,602$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Spurs40c1,508$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.397156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs71c1,467$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.231,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks9c1,456$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.4818941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks59c1,418$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.5425954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs52c1,257$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.1810944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks22c1,033$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.9693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks19c1,008$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.961,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7701,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Knicks59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4105349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks40c999$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.41,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks60c950$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3803878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Knicks46c920.2$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.2220558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Knicks59c863.92$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.211060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks42c847.43$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.331,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs41c777$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.5750346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs56c746.97$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7765762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs65c666$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.92,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked Knicks54c586.44$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.761747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks59c510$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.11,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs53c492.96$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs45c443.22$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.41,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Spurs41c439.02$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks59c437.49$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.374,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks7c417.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.1218140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks59c382.77$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3130448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d53…e7aabacked Spurs41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507546.7%35 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Spurs41c353.66$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1455151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs40c338.71$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4811333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Knicks59c338.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7638947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Spurs46c326.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks23c323.56$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1425045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs67c290.74$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Spurs48c264.92$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1621950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks59c263.12$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks59c253.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.031,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Knicks60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa75…b37fbacked Spurs41c227.68$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.353342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks58c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.348355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks33c187.09$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.922,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs52c177$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.041,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks59c170.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.741,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks48c164.61$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3417946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks36c163.95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.521,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks38c163.07$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Spurs62c162.41$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6918743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs59c157.63$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.448,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Spurs40c150.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0526345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs51c145.9$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7825340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks59c140$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks59c135.77$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.661,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs53c134.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48f2…7fddbacked Knicks15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+112.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Knicks60c133.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.317360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks30c126$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7434255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs41c111$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5125352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbef9…d257backed Spurs41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419658.3%56 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Knicks33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7236045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs65c98.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Spurs41c96.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+151.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf9…7a19backed Spurs42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Knicks59c88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.089061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Knicks60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.337458.1%43 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks38c79.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs69c76.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks50c76.11$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7552053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x729c…2b1ebacked Spurs41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026354%142 W · 121 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Spurs41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013539.3%53 W · 82 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Knicks59c65.51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8610548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks23c61.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8760250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Spurs41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Spurs41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10df…2206backed Spurs41c52.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks59c51.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.131,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs77c51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2716429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Spurs41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.541227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Knicks59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c27…b88cbacked Spurs41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…e1acbacked Knicks54c46.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.072770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Knicks57c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…e656backed Spurs47c42.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x130a…5c12backed Spurs30c40.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks58c37.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Spurs41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Spurs71c36.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9311946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Spurs53c33.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.522937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ccb…a159backed Spurs41c33.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.521050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Spurs65c31.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.762951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs69c31.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs70c30.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6521953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Spurs41c29.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127437.8%28 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Spurs43c26.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.233556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs73c25.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3137652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x565c…f3c0backed Knicks60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1010855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.