TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x130a…5c12

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.41
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$32.08
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.82
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.23
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.12
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.17
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.69
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.68
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.42
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.67
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$27.72
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.98
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$18.68
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$23.32
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.02
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$17.55
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.49
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.31
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.54
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+335.1%+$39.84
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$12.12
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$21.54
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.1
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$31.5
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$46.24
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+115%+$44.38
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.07
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$59
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.57
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.06
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+181.2%+$27.55
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.53
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.38
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.85
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.63
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.94
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.78
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$50.81
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$10.66
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$5.98
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)backed Yunnan Yukun FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.33
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$47.45
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.64
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.47
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$66.65
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$29.57
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)backed Beijing Guoan FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+126%+$18.89
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.47
All 13 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Stormbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.69
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.53
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.92
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.68
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.61
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.04
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.72
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.72
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$11.36
Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFirebacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$8.13
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+143.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.39
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+36%+$18.57
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$15.44
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gwangju: Pavel Kotov vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$35.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+67%+$10.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.