TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden State Valkyriesof Minnesota Lynx, Golden State Valkyries
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,094 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Minnesota Lynx49c60,000$29,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,40011545.2%52 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Valkyries50c37,728$19,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,696.2446247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Golden State Valkyries51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,249.964540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Minnesota Lynx52c20,601$10,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,663.3610749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries48c11,170$5,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,794.911,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Golden State Valkyries49c10,168$4,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,185.6813950.4%70 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Golden State Valkyries50c6,954$3,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,506.1110151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Minnesota Lynx49c6,666$3,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.345050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Minnesota Lynx51c6,324$3,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,204.115042%21 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Golden State Valkyries48c5,738$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,981.6129654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Golden State Valkyries52c3,800$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8244438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Golden State Valkyries51c3,654$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.0727449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx49c3,638$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.861,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…d0a8backed Minnesota Lynx49c2,485$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.841758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Golden State Valkyries51c2,041$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.92142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Minnesota Lynx54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9913746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Golden State Valkyries51c1,960$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.43351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Golden State Valkyries49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7658348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Minnesota Lynx51c1,414$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.0423049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries51c1,135$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.0989349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Minnesota Lynx49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Valkyries47c1,010$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.9836154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Golden State Valkyries30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Golden State Valkyries52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.542951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx50c940.36$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.4285158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx51c586.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Golden State Valkyries64c512.03$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0710144.6%45 W · 56 L-13.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota Lynx49c459.76$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2837850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Minnesota Lynx44c450$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1999254.3%50 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Golden State Valkyries49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2043542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Minnesota Lynx53c398.87$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1311253.6%60 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Minnesota Lynx56c385.11$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Minnesota Lynx50c330$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Golden State Valkyries65c305.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.614454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Minnesota Lynx56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681675%12 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Minnesota Lynx50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011349.6%56 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Minnesota Lynx53c292.45$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Golden State Valkyries50c209.72$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.559651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Golden State Valkyries51c208.83$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.915141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Minnesota Lynx49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012651.6%65 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed Golden State Valkyries47c203.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Minnesota Lynx49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810249%50 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Golden State Valkyries51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9813249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Minnesota Lynx49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9f…da7bbacked Minnesota Lynx53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Minnesota Lynx21c185$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8538744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Minnesota Lynx55c182.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Lynx50c170$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5755255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Golden State Valkyries60c166.82$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1661042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Minnesota Lynx49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.58746%40 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Lynx48c133.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0678548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Golden State Valkyries77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0278…9c8dbacked Minnesota Lynx51c112$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Minnesota Lynx53c110.3$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.469044.4%40 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a58…f9d8backed Minnesota Lynx51c108.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Golden State Valkyries51c107.04$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.451533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Minnesota Lynx49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdd…6da4backed Minnesota Lynx54c100.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd47f…169bbacked Minnesota Lynx69c100.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.35862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden State Valkyries30c100.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8750952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Minnesota Lynx49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Minnesota Lynx53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5327049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9af…f4f7backed Golden State Valkyries59c98.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.881353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Minnesota Lynx52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508550.6%43 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98dc…9949backed Minnesota Lynx53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5547…3a41backed Golden State Valkyries52c88.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.462433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8527…9a7fbacked Minnesota Lynx50c81.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Golden State Valkyries52c74.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.642429.2%7 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x130a…5c12backed Minnesota Lynx53c71.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.721070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Golden State Valkyries49c66.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.255444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Golden State Valkyries47c64.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2713346.6%62 W · 71 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69a2…3beebacked Golden State Valkyries52c60.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Golden State Valkyries47c60.04$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6813143.5%57 W · 74 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Minnesota Lynx49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.416745.5%76 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Golden State Valkyries51c58.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.691668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Minnesota Lynx53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Minnesota Lynx49c53.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9e…a436backed Golden State Valkyries51c53.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.09944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdb…02c3backed Golden State Valkyries51c51.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries51c50.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.799548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Minnesota Lynx51c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.510543.8%46 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x449e…f0a9backed Golden State Valkyries52c48.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Golden State Valkyries52c45.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.991526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Golden State Valkyries51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0516450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Minnesota Lynx49c44.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.93933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Golden State Valkyries47c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Golden State Valkyries49c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.429156%51 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64b…e453backed Minnesota Lynx49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-73.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Golden State Valkyries52c40.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.251136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02dc…a212backed Minnesota Lynx53c38.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc94…a3b6backed Minnesota Lynx49c36.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Minnesota Lynx53c35.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.613756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Minnesota Lynx50c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Minnesota Lynx38c31.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.17641.6%1 W · 63 L-26.1wins-0.41per pick42cpaid-97.6%equal weight17-0.29 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries46c31.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0392248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Minnesota Lynx49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156946.4%32 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Golden State Valkyries47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1613745.3%62 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Golden State Valkyries49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.323644.9%106 W · 130 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Golden State Valkyries51c29.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75ce…0fbcbacked Minnesota Lynx51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.