TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd24f…d0a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,571Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$683.52
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,695Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$2,678.47
Exact Score: Liechtenstein 0 - 2 Cyprus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+525%+$666.75
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,896Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$816.8
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,725Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$1,408.97
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,688Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$848.72
Brazil leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$844.47
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$790.38
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$798.77
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,382Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$367.24
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,517
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,381Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+34%+$1,831.23
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$600.97
Will Canada vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,538Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$757.69
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 Nicaragua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$319.71
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,284.42
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,228
Mexico vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)backed Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,571.51
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$479
All 21 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$235.43
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,130
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$565
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,898Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,898
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$785
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,847Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$461.75
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.08
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,231.49
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,026Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,683.85
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,361Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$1,003.33
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$1,382.69
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$1,432.39
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,162.4
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$941Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$709.81
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,217.84
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$480.71
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$175.54
All 17 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$412
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,309Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$530.78
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,738
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$834.84
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$857Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$857.24
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$953.56
Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$327
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,742.66
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,938Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$1,543.93
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,580.58
Will FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+36%+$178.95
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$914.81
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,768.41
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.2
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.97
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.