TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Canada vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,200 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No44c11,571$5,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,069.352,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No51c8,187$4,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,137.761,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes65c3,983$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.5511561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…d0a8backed Yes67c2,296$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.692166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cac…1744backed Yes27c1,984$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.31250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac8…5518backed Yes27c1,852$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.854450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes48c1,838$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.927233.3%24 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes32c1,192$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.9993542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No18c1,025$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9574034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c1,020$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.2676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes78c886.49$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.483,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No42c843.24$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.7930117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Yes13c800$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6967828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Yes77c513.25$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0511065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Yes64c426.42$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.515143.1%22 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No66c423.86$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.911,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No67c423.21$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.144,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Yes59c422.47$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2112248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes33c404.9$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.883,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked No74c399.99$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.6116937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes30c386.62$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.687651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca09…d50ebacked Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.623240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes21c317.37$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2569744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes22c315.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0426534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes26c307.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6910525.7%27 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes27c277.78$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.78997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No74c274.13$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.344,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed No74c250$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1857659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes75c214.45$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4511552.2%60 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No58c211.35$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.831,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes27c210.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3663035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15017835.4%63 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62de…e70bbacked Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1462441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No74c199.88$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.111,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Yes28c186.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3222627.9%63 W · 163 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No73c181.73$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.662,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.575545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No58c167.9$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.481,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes26c156.6$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.882,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes13c154.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4619225%48 W · 144 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.851,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No74c150$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117753.2%41 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes44c136.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6945039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c131.59$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.061,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e8…ceefbacked Yes80c130.8$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed No71c129.62$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8118943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No60c125$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5217945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc67…6f13backed No75c118$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.54271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No75c111.65$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.621,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57d…f322backed Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.11119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-66.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No75c100.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6324448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c94.15$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.183,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f83…0e8dbacked No74c91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.348256.1%46 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No35c89.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9645947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked No21c85.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.988030%24 W · 56 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes25c83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.111,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed No68c82.12$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.528528.2%24 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes27c66.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.611,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Yes27c65.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No73c64.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.071,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x768d…d230backed Yes27c64.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9512433.9%42 W · 82 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes59c62.88$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7590840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.61,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9683…ac23backed Yes51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No74c57.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6918435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Yes77c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1811852.5%62 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No77c52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0439039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed No72c48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7227145.8%124 W · 147 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f7…684abacked No74c46.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes26c46.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4131550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5b…5253backed Yes28c42.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.861136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes24c41.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2710646.2%49 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5412042.5%51 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8b…276abacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303721.6%8 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.651458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes26c39.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.533,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Yes77c39.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.999174.7%68 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No73c35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.551,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.413,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No71c34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9927538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No74c34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0584844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92065%13 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes45c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.615059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No70c30.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4717513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.39357%53 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.228554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.321166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes44c29.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2818764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf511…bfe4backed Yes40c27.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3614579.3%115 W · 30 L+17.0wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+13.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3288…13d4backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f6e…3288backed No76c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No74c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.623552.8%124 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Yes65c22.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.753672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No53c21.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.433412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No64c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4498134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed No76c20.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8341344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No75c17.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.