Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc101e7994fc20661a6d56e88c81fa4dbf29edaa2694552cca0412faa7eb0e659

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $114,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $107,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,770 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb5a5…e3cabacked Yes	16c	9,402$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	5c	9,174$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.69	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes	2c	6,000$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.26	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes	17c	5,846$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.78	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes	17c	5,646$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.88	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	9c	3,509$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.41	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	17c	3,370$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.18	162	25.3%41 W · 121 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	15c	2,126$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.65	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…6548backed Yes	18c	1,854$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	15c	1,633$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.06	760	48.7%370 W · 390 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	4c	1,333$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	139	22.3%31 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes	10c	1,083$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.69	175	13.7%24 W · 151 L	-19.8wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc4c2…7da2backed Yes	4c	700$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Yes	2c	699.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	214	39.7%85 W · 129 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes	14c	674.32$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.4	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-6.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x0094…eea5backed Yes	3c	666.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	9cpaid	+344.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	39.4%37 W · 57 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes	3c	570.93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	103	11.7%12 W · 91 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d59…31dcbacked Yes	17c	550$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.5	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes	18c	550$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	156	54.5%85 W · 71 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes	9c	549.8$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.95	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes	11c	527.78$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed Yes	3c	500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes	13c	499.98$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	237	29.1%69 W · 168 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	17c	478$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.26	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes	18c	388.89$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	192	25%48 W · 144 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes	14c	386.67$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.13	105	39%41 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c33…8f45backed Yes	17c	380.56$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	11c	370.22$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.59	175	35.4%62 W · 113 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes	14c	345.14$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.9	450	39.6%178 W · 272 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes	15c	326.18$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.24	709	48.9%347 W · 362 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5daf…7d98backed Yes	16c	283.27$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	146	47.3%69 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	13c	241$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.33	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50b8…0469backed Yes	18c	214.39$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.59	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	15c	204.47$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.09	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes	17c	200.2$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.08	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	331	20.8%69 W · 262 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x794d…c228backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	40	40%16 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yes	13c	178$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	191	20.9%40 W · 151 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bf…a509backed Yes	14c	171.51$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed Yes	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	9c	157.89$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.43	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d0…5a86backed Yes	18c	147.67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57d…f322backed Yes	18c	144.44$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes	8c	139.64$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	39	7.7%3 W · 36 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Yes	14c	130.49$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.27	413	44.1%182 W · 231 L	-16.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb275…64b9backed Yes	17c	124.07$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	268	35.4%95 W · 173 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc23…775abacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes	10c	110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	165	9.7%16 W · 149 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	66c	107.48$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.32	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddd…b8f3backed Yes	19c	107.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes	17c	105.88$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	105	25.7%27 W · 78 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7366…d1aabacked Yes	17c	97$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf1…fa85backed Yes	15c	89$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+150%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3a…9c1ebacked Yes	19c	84.95$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Yes	35c	84.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.12	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x847c…9ff8backed Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf79…ac5ebacked Yes	15c	80$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Yes	15c	73$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	266	31.2%83 W · 183 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8277…dce0backed Yes	18c	66.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	236	33.9%80 W · 156 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes	17c	64.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	75	28%21 W · 54 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9680…60babacked Yes	20c	64$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…6cfcbacked Yes	17c	63.94$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d3…8604backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x209f…2337backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7597…e17ebacked Yes	18c	58.22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.48	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	180	53.3%96 W · 84 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05?this page
Will Canada vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?Yes won
Will Canada win on 2026-06-05?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event