TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3da6…9ac4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
283
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12542.4%53 W · 72 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.92
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.58
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$189.98
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$78.18
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+212.4%+$1,190.85
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.54
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.94
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$88.9
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.91
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$23.75
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$99.89
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$238.04
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$44.39
Australia vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.03
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spain vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.26
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.51
United States leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.06
England to score first vs. DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
Mexico to score first vs. Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.58
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Playoffsbacked DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.31
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$84.88
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Cupid Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.04
LoL: NightBirds vs EXILE esports (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked EXILE esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifierbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.45
LoL: Blue Otter vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+251.8%+$50.14
LoL: Conviction vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Contingent Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
LoL: Conviction vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Contingent Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.59
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$49.75
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+59%+$26.7
LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winnerbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.75
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.47
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.64
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.21
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.84
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.82
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
MOUZ to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.19
PlayTime to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.67
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.54
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.95
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+68%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.44
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$24.51
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.6
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46%+$84.43
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.92
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+432.6%+$105.62
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+197.4%+$24.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+85.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.52
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$145.6
Will Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$91.46
Will Larne FC win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$63
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.06
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+175.6%+$255.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs Looking For Laburo (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Main Event Playoffsbacked KRÜ Blaze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.4
Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD - Map 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$80.85
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.59
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.94
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.81
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.43
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-79.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+158.8%+$347.2
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$162.39
Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will New York Knicks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.44
Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.5
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-61.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+105.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.69
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$49.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.