Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48daa8fead8f966f2b988ad1d0ec28835314e91de64700afc81d034614c93bdd

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $306,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $306,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,761 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	62c	20,296$12,665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,664.99	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes	36c	15,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,600	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes	38c	14,831$5,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,165.55	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	63c	14,798$9,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,368.41	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b9a…9093backed Yes	66c	10,487$6,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,617.25	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+3.9wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc098…cd90backed Yes	66c	7,519$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,519.06	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	34c	6,911$2,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,349.7	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa517…f23bbacked Yes	40c	6,550$2,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,945.93	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a61…2727backed No	52c	6,350$3,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,279.29	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes	66c	6,017$3,971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,045.67	508	50%254 W · 254 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	63c	5,974$3,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,775.09	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked No	34c	5,224$1,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,776.26	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	60c	4,261$2,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,543.16	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes	66c	3,691$2,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,259.55	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	28c	3,609$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.57	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed No	34c	3,587$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219.54	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	43c	3,550$1,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,526.79	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No	33c	3,428$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,131.14	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…64b0backed No	68c	3,349$2,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,274.8	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes	33c	3,264$1,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,182.04	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	35c	3,241$1,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,106.71	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	45c	3,206$1,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,757.67	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes	30c	3,181$964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,217.47	152	40.8%62 W · 90 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes	52c	3,035$1,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,445.35	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No	67c	3,000$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,010	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	44c	3,000$1,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,309.98	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5dd…aab9backed Yes	66c	2,911$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$991.15	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	50c	2,653$1,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325.56	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	54c	2,594$1,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,203.6	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes	35c	2,548$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,647.62	121	41.3%50 W · 71 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed Yes	36c	2,414$877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,537.5	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No	35c	2,246$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.16	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	32c	2,226$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.97	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	69c	2,158$1,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,482.58	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes	40c	2,096$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,256.06	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	65c	2,081$1,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.21	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	64c	2,000$1,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,274.94	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No	6c	1,993$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.21	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07bc…b413backed Yes	41c	1,919$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,129.67	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	61cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	64c	1,906$1,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,225.55	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes	32c	1,751$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,190.85	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No	65c	1,717$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.14	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	54c	1,661$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.23	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd097…93d0backed Yes	65c	1,600$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+10.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	52c	1,539$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.69	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf577…8af1backed Yes	33c	1,504$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,003.96	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.48per pick	27cpaid	+226.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed No	35c	1,500$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.97	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed No	62c	1,495$923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$923.02	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No	34c	1,474$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.32	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	73c	1,452$1,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.84	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No	64c	1,370$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.78	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	52c	1,341$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.73	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2937…ad07backed Yes	38c	1,302$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.56	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5bf…8763backed Yes	39c	1,287$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.52	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked No	57c	1,272$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.44	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Yes	41c	1,240$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.4	126	27.8%35 W · 91 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	34c	1,236$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.13	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No	59c	1,214$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.94	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8603…fb04backed Yes	66c	1,212$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.12	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	63c	1,210$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762.47	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	61c	1,144$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.88	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef11…d590backed No	35c	1,106$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.18	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	28c	1,090$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.81	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	64c	1,039$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.02	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes	65c	1,020$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd437…ba37backed Yes	32c	999.99$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.99	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd9…a49ebacked No	33c	999.95$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.98	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe611…c90bbacked Yes	66c	969.7$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.7	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	61c	890.62$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.96	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	67c	880.61$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.59	198	25.3%50 W · 148 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb6…f63dbacked Yes	38c	868.39$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.39	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+149.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	52c	837.12$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.96	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e2…41b6backed Yes	36c	836.14$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.13	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	40c	820.1$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.07	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cf7…294abacked No	61c	819.98$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.18	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-27%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Yes	65c	760.13$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.36	72	26.4%19 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	31c	759.92$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.03	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	37c	736.19$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.13	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes	37c	677.57$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.57	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No	63c	675$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.25	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	64c	674.97$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.56	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No	34c	671.07$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.32	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c05…71cdbacked Yes	66c	653.77$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.28	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a1…b214backed Yes	39c	641.03$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.03	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes	33c	616.89$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.32	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	63c	615.6$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.93	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd272…0626backed Yes	33c	615.16$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.16	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…30abbacked Yes	31c	606.13$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.39	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc011…3b70backed No	59c	594$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.76	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	66cpaid	-31%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x039a…b09dbacked Yes	36c	590.54$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.54	65	40%26 W · 39 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab7…5b3ebacked No	35c	571.43$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	60c	561.89$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.77	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	63c	547.01$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.39	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed No	38c	543$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.34	272	27.6%75 W · 197 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Yes	28c	536.64$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.7	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	64c	519$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.16	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a19…2328backed Yes	39c	516.97$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.97	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	+204.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked No	44c	511$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.84	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	47c	507.78$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.3	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No	35c	500$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.5	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event