Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x132e56458383524be72123fe3ce54a392603bcc7cf0363fb5fb3734af9aa904d

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $156,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $154,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,263 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes	14c	37,434$5,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,242.75	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a5…f6a4backed No	75c	14,700$10,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,746.86	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed Yes	26c	12,016$3,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,136.07	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	13c	7,084$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.14	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes	10c	5,180$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.02	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes	26c	5,000$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,280	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	79c	4,028$3,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.63	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd437…ba37backed Yes	12c	2,796$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.84	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	74c	2,646$1,963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.67	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x233e…02c3backed Yes	11c	2,524$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes	26c	2,521$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.22	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked Yes	26c	2,367$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.27	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed No	77c	2,257$1,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.21	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b88…fffbbacked Yes	25c	1,965$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	10c	1,754$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.38	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	15c	1,709$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.82	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	10c	1,694$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.34	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes	26c	1,507$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.83	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Yes	2c	1,460$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.67	72	26.4%19 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes	14c	1,450$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.41	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	12c	1,397$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.04	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6a…741ebacked Yes	25c	1,302$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,169$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.66	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	80c	1,150$918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d79…1c29backed No	75c	999.99$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+6.4wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a21…f1babacked Yes	11c	893.79$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	74c	891.34$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.75	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes	17c	810.24$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.7	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No	76c	706$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.95	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes	11c	700$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	2c	696$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.01	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No	77c	658.36$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.72	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2155…ff4bbacked Yes	13c	617.06$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.75	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked No	74c	612.33$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.95	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed No	74c	592.5$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.28	337	29.1%98 W · 239 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…637dbacked Yes	14c	578.97$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	9c	553.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.78	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No	75c	550.66$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.04	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No	79c	542.97$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.04	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed No	75c	500$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No	75c	499.99$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.7	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	11c	499.1$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.9	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5111…8bc3backed No	75c	495$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.74	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	25c	421.81$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.85	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	9c	407.07$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.31	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	26c	400$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	26c	399$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.74	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e0…a5aebacked Yes	26c	384.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked No	74c	379.5$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.61	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked No	74c	370$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.57	54	13%7 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x624b…56f8backed Yes	15c	366.34$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.25	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	25c	361.49$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.67	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90bd…1fecbacked Yes	26c	361.24$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes	9c	334.05$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.48	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…90c5backed No	75c	327.8$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.26	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	5c	316.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Yes	26c	300$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.1	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	25c	296.82$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.51	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes	25c	294.8$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.58	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…0713backed No	74c	285.32$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.33	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed No	76c	262.31$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.36	88	59.1%52 W · 36 L	-11.8wins	-0.13per pick	72cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9994…b8f7backed Yes	26c	250$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf70c…4e63backed Yes	22c	245.07$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.96	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked No	72c	208.9$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.91	239	43.5%104 W · 135 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	77c	207$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.22	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e4c…4831backed No	75c	200.74$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.74	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc0…04c0backed Yes	24c	200$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Yes	26c	200$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x131c…6816backed No	74c	200$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No	75c	200$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.6	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb32e…9a40backed Yes	25c	196.85$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No	77c	192.58$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.85	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	13c	192.58$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.27	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x726b…7237backed Yes	26c	172$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.86	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a1f…b12cbacked Yes	25c	168.43$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.95	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0505…fc40backed Yes	26c	155$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.53	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ef…26adbacked No	75c	151.2$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.2	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked No	74c	146.67$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.46	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1b5…35ebbacked Yes	22c	145$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.9	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed No	76c	136.02$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.17	175	68.6%120 W · 55 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	74cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	30c	134.46$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.7	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c3…4624backed No	75c	133.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.58	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-10%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07ee…c605backed No	75c	130.15$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.17	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…e8eabacked Yes	14c	129.09$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c49…3e89backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Yes	12c	120$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	11c	119.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.58	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	28c	118.9$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.48	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5afc…2995backed Yes	10c	116.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.65	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea6…33a4backed Yes	26c	116.28$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x794d…1c5dbacked Yes	14c	115$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	-21%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes	26c	113.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.89	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e91…f26fbacked Yes	11c	102.16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.24	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…0cabbacked No	79c	99.99$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	238	55.5%132 W · 106 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked No	74c	99.99$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc97b…8a22backed No	76c	98.9$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.83	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66e1…045bbacked Yes	26c	97.28$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked No	74c	97.05$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.77	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c96…959fbacked Yes	21c	95.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event