Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x508af22a38ad600b6b7526970e26be280e4183731954b575320050735d991fa8

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $534,657
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $532,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,657 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	25c	52,533$13,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,182.2	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd849…6ac7backed Yes	78c	45,321$35,253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,067.4	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	69cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	25c	44,158$10,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,914.87	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x127e…3dd8backed Yes	78c	32,010$24,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,070.36	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	64cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	26c	27,496$7,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,016.52	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	34c	24,414$8,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,303.13	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes	78c	21,235$16,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,664.08	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes	53c	20,022$10,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,502.77	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed No	21c	15,000$3,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,150	142	32.4%46 W · 96 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	22c	14,477$3,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,151.1	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	35c	10,925$3,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,810.06	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	19c	10,785$2,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,096.32	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked No	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,799.88	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No	22c	9,033$1,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,987.25	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a55…1d25backed Yes	78c	8,380$6,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,850.45	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadca…4013backed Yes	77c	7,742$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,742.35	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…64b0backed Yes	66c	7,617$5,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,592.73	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	63c	5,992$3,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,217.07	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked No	22c	5,904$1,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,298.91	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	69c	5,844$4,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,803.51	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed No	22c	5,677$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248.85	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf70…5e92backed Yes	78c	5,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	36c	5,000$1,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,779.98	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	29c	4,595$1,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,342.95	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	31c	4,545$1,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,418.97	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed Yes	77c	4,500$3,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,046	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed No	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No	22c	3,991$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.03	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a19…2328backed Yes	65c	3,981$2,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,379.87	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	+204.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc098…cd90backed Yes	80c	3,750$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	54c	3,524$1,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625.78	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb200…8163backed Yes	53c	3,380$1,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,578.65	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	20cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No	21c	3,310$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.72	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	43c	3,269$1,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	78c	3,000$2,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$670	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	78c	3,000$2,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	34c	3,000$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.98	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed No	21c	3,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.96	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	34c	2,972$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,023.89	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd5…cba7backed Yes	52c	2,909$1,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,401.14	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	51c	2,659$1,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,356.67	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	76c	2,572$1,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.93	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Yes	79c	2,547$2,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.15	88	59.1%52 W · 36 L	-11.8wins	-0.13per pick	72cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7961…1b1cbacked Yes	45c	2,435$1,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,347.73	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No	25c	2,300$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.8	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	22c	2,277$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.9	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24db…50babacked Yes	53c	2,247$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,047.22	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed No	46c	2,180$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	44c	2,160$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$943.19	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x131c…6816backed No	22c	2,045$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.9	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes	49c	2,026$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025.58	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	-13.8wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-41%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	50c	2,001$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed No	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	76c	2,000$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+9.6wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+49.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf441…7574backed Yes	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc438…3ae6backed Yes	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed Yes	74c	2,000$1,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.98	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	25c	1,999$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.39	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…3895backed Yes	64c	1,930$1,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.8	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…d86bbacked Yes	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.08	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8603…fb04backed Yes	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.08	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c01…797dbacked No	22c	1,876$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.63	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	22cpaid	-88%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	44c	1,830$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	54c	1,825$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.48	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	61c	1,797$1,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.45	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes	71c	1,743$1,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.97	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes	68c	1,742$1,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.85	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…cb9fbacked Yes	64c	1,685$1,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.99	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+3.6wins	+0.19per pick	55cpaid	+39.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	16c	1,638$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No	23c	1,610$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.25	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked No	46c	1,562$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.57	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	46c	1,559$722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$837.26	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes	75c	1,556$1,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.01	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked No	34c	1,543$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.93	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ff9…6d33backed Yes	50c	1,540$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	66c	1,539$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.96	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	50c	1,537$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.74	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked No	49c	1,536$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.64	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes	77c	1,500$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x158c…9164backed No	57c	1,500$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.99	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed Yes	77c	1,500$1,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.95	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed No	23c	1,457$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	24c	1,406$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.81	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	78c	1,372$1,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.35	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Yes	79c	1,360$1,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.36	175	68.6%120 W · 55 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	74cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	65c	1,346$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.4	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked No	21c	1,315$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.12	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2293…02febacked Yes	65c	1,303$848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.84	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f86…4fa9backed Yes	79c	1,266$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.82	97	60.8%59 W · 38 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No	26c	1,250$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.44	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	18c	1,202$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.32	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Yes	47c	1,200$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636	92	66.3%61 W · 31 L	+13.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes	75c	1,140$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.67	251	60.6%152 W · 99 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Yes	44c	1,129$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.22	142	25.4%36 W · 106 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabe9…4424backed Yes	79c	1,116$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.45	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	61c	1,115$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.5	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	47c	1,114$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.34	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a2…a335backed Yes	65c	1,113$724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.61	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+4.1wins	+0.24per pick	53cpaid	+52.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No	22c	1,100$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5532…d43cbacked No	22c	1,100$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event