TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Uruguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,526 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes3c2,204$66 inLost-$66.1251315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8b…ebe0backed Yes10c1,733$170 inLost-$1704542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Yes8c799.99$64 inLost-$642748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes9c720$62 inLost-$62.143145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes7c663.66$49 inLost-$49.2723543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c8…6de4backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost-$50120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes6c440.11$26 inLost-$26.031674.2%7 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes5c420.34$19 inLost-$19.391266.3%8 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes6c410.21$25 inLost-$24.6112025%30 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c391.27$12 inLost-$12.137799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes5c389.79$20 inLost-$20.4445736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes7c290.67$20 inLost-$19.5787837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes7c200$14 inLost-$1440515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes9c196$18 inLost-$17.642,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes6c187.51$11 inLost-$11.255527.3%15 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes7c179.72$13 inLost-$13.4635033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2149…52dfbacked Yes7c157.84$12 inLost-$11.6450%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes7c144.37$10 inLost-$10.4721517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes8c136.73$11 inLost-$10.7472247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.