Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc753ab17f90223970b0678b605211f53a552703f31be724400bcb1564079600c

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $295,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $285,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,139 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes	22c	23,895$5,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,256.84	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a8…c5edbacked Yes	23c	20,479$4,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,755.97	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	44c	19,809$8,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,766.48	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	80c	12,957$10,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,647.11	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ce…271dbacked Yes	23c	11,453$2,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,673.24	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes	23c	10,735$2,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,468.98	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	17c	9,823$1,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,648.11	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No	75c	8,192$6,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,072.98	518	59.8%310 W · 208 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	17c	6,824$1,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,192.77	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	72c	6,478$4,635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,843.13	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…9613backed No	77c	5,861$4,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,348.1	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	27cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…64b0backed Yes	28c	5,555$1,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,568.52	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked No	80c	4,975$3,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.38	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3eed…cb2abacked No	79c	4,494$3,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$937.22	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4515…e6e4backed Yes	13c	4,263$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	16c	3,676$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.42	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No	64c	3,026$1,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085.38	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46eb…ba8cbacked No	24c	3,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,280	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	79c	2,815$2,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.48	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	77c	2,784$2,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.98	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed No	78c	2,750$2,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	24c	2,556$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,952.47	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…28d6backed Yes	14c	2,263$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.75	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	68c	2,219$1,506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.46	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	77c	1,999$1,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.82	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked No	77c	1,975$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.14	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f6…f335backed Yes	15c	1,938$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed No	77c	1,936$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.91	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6e7…e302backed Yes	27c	1,884$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfca…9722backed No	78c	1,883$1,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.26	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked No	79c	1,687$1,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.52	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes	21c	1,673$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.52	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	19c	1,649$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.79	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked No	77c	1,645$1,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.35	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	19c	1,553$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.01	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No	78c	1,550$1,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.5	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	19c	1,457$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.79	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed No	78c	1,408$1,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.83	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+4.4wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2888…0fe4backed Yes	20c	1,408$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…05e9backed No	78c	1,261$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.42	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.28per pick	46cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	15c	1,219$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.9	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes	25c	1,217$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	78c	1,206$945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.24	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3084…5ec5backed Yes	11c	1,153$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.82	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0bd…5528backed Yes	14c	1,152$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	78c	1,128$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.21	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd085…ba5cbacked Yes	15c	1,026$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.92	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d55…7cbabacked Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2850…1923backed Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	76c	897.76$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.24	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63a1…bf89backed Yes	23c	874.03$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	30cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	15c	870.83$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.78	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Yes	23c	869.57$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	200	25.5%51 W · 149 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	20c	864.22$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.91	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	18c	862.99$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.65	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd30…e0d4backed Yes	14c	825$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.3	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes	20c	802.61$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.52	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30fc…71cdbacked No	79c	794.37$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.82	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	4c	726.18$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.11	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	79c	718.86$571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.8	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	698.91$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.67	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	78c	626.69$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.23	198	25.3%50 W · 148 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e8…ebb7backed No	76c	625$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes	22c	611$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.12	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4043…2bc7backed Yes	15c	569.46$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed No	78c	558.22$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.87	175	68.6%120 W · 55 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	74cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed No	78c	558.22$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.86	88	59.1%52 W · 36 L	-11.8wins	-0.13per pick	72cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9afb…7c14backed Yes	14c	533.33$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…149bbacked No	78c	502.56$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.56	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf8…25c3backed Yes	13c	500.58$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.26	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-49%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	17c	500.28$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.81	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	110	38.2%42 W · 68 L	-11.1wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b0…427ebacked Yes	11c	499.98$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44df…8c08backed Yes	16c	489.7$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…81fdbacked Yes	14c	469.67$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.55	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	17c	453$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.03	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe13a…e4f6backed Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c49…793bbacked Yes	23c	431.5$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.13	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+71.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d18…c84dbacked Yes	13c	430$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.9	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea2…6509backed Yes	12c	419.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d8…a490backed No	78c	410.1$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.22	205	39%80 W · 125 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	13c	409.56$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.99	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88eb…9085backed Yes	16c	406.7$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9afc…c4bfbacked No	78c	400.69$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.15	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+177%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24f6…7ce9backed No	77c	400$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5675…f6a6backed No	78c	388.95$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.57	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x281b…f3e5backed Yes	14c	379.64$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	17c	368.56$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.02	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Yes	14c	363.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	223	43.9%98 W · 125 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	78c	337.49$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.26	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5219…9781backed Yes	21c	333.33$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed No	76c	333.3$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.99	137	45.3%62 W · 75 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	45c	324.36$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.96	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes	17c	319.69$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.61	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e5…92b4backed Yes	13c	308.46$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.1	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+120.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadc5…6aa4backed Yes	23c	304.35$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ee…9eeabacked Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event