Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15ff2abf58c8da317ae5017c524d1a63c0b187d242a43133b3c1865123652931

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $423,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $434,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,162 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 581 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd849…6ac7backed Yes	51c	32,562$16,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,104.37	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	69cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	25c	25,032$6,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,246.46	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	51c	24,470$12,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,410.9	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked No	51c	21,618$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,000	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	46c	17,344$8,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,342.82	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	25c	16,452$4,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,112.96	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	59c	15,783$9,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,537.29	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked No	26c	10,790$2,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,805.41	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	52c	10,763$5,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,637.55	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes	53c	10,374$5,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,873.27	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…5dc4backed Yes	74c	8,925$6,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,292.57	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No	25c	8,670$2,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,136.36	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	41c	8,566$3,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,514.36	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	55c	7,923$4,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,352.76	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe20…67debacked Yes	76c	7,602$5,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,824.5	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	49c	7,171$3,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,546.39	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	52c	6,303$3,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,276.91	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	49c	6,205$3,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,056.16	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes	75c	5,716$4,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,408.82	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes	52c	5,572$2,878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,694.23	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	70c	5,396$3,762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,634.1	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	47c	5,203$2,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,433.23	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	32c	5,156$1,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,659.81	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x232d…da84backed No	49c	5,032$2,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,465.17	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x127e…3dd8backed Yes	74c	5,000$3,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	64cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	31c	5,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.99	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	42c	4,979$2,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,870.15	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd10…343bbacked Yes	50c	4,541$2,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,265.15	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5e…8819backed No	53c	4,279$2,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,268	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes	43c	4,183$1,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,368.38	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	61c	4,066$2,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,582.32	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	30c	3,782$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130.72	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	45c	3,760$1,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,052.9	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	24c	3,496$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.14	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Yes	75c	3,333$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.33	97	60.8%59 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf70…5e92backed Yes	75c	3,302$2,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$825.38	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes	45c	3,203$1,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,758.31	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	54c	3,140$1,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,692.93	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f88…2a93backed Yes	45c	3,126$1,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,719.16	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	22cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed No	25c	3,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No	57c	3,000$1,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,709.78	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	49c	2,999$1,474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,525.68	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Yes	78c	2,871$2,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.77	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	56c	2,826$1,589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,588.94	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes	73c	2,811$2,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$758.97	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	74c	2,439$1,811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$627.74	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	48c	2,400$1,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,248.25	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb6…36d5backed No	25c	2,400$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes	68c	2,388$1,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$773.52	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	65c	2,378$1,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.98	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Yes	44c	2,350$1,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,316	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	57c	2,335$1,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,002.48	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	49c	2,276$1,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,160.51	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed No	54c	2,186$1,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,171.99	169	46.2%78 W · 91 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed No	55c	2,160$1,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.98	200	17%34 W · 166 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked No	51c	2,050$1,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,045.49	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e6…902ebacked Yes	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No	42c	1,933$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.8	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	45c	1,838$831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,006.33	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	57c	1,791$1,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769.46	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes	51c	1,765$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864.71	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd47…aa89backed Yes	75c	1,718$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.4	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	31c	1,638$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.87	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xae5f…a8b8backed Yes	74c	1,622$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.62	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.26per pick	46cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	58c	1,594$921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.25	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked No	49c	1,525$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.4	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ff9…6d33backed Yes	49c	1,500$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$766.33	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed Yes	52c	1,500$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No	55c	1,495$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822.44	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No	52c	1,491$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.4	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	54c	1,454$787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.47	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	56c	1,416$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ec83backed Yes	67c	1,335$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.97	37	73%27 W · 10 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	60cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2293…02febacked Yes	75c	1,328$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.17	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes	70c	1,227$857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.91	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98bd…781ebacked No	54c	1,227$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.63	99	55.6%55 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	74c	1,200$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+9.6wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+49.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed No	51c	1,200$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Yes	47c	1,200$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.99	193	32.6%63 W · 130 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa9e…b529backed Yes	60c	1,121$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.65	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes	45c	1,111$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.11	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	54c	1,111$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.91	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5bf…8763backed Yes	45c	1,096$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.18	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	46c	1,090$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.93	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	56c	1,079$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.86	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5247…deafbacked Yes	52c	1,061$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.7	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	34cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6235…7a5ebacked Yes	48c	1,056$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.41	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	50c	1,039$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.38	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ca…2656backed Yes	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.2	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	246	35.8%88 W · 158 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce5…7c13backed Yes	73c	1,000$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.9	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b13…0440backed No	46c	1,000$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes	74c	999.99$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9690…8bfabacked Yes	44c	999.99$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.99	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x579b…7a46backed Yes	47c	967.57$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.81	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes	52c	938.46$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.46	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce3…2317backed Yes	44c	909.09$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.09	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	51c	900$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event