TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6cf1…3c6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Movies, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT4427.3%12 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.99
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+1,642.9%+$383.42
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.16
Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.45
Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.9
Will Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will Fergus Finlay win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$340.2
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$215.1
Canada backs out of F-35 deal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+49.8%+$99.75
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+353.5%+$1,298.45
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+381.3%+$1,191.65
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$83
Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+82.7%+$158.43
Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.31
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$894.4
Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+151.9%+$1,892.05
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,886Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,885.58
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$23.99
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$366.17
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54,673Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54,672.75
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29,902Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+546%+$163,250.14
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.49
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.83
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.2
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.16
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$504.85
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,398.14
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$8.1
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,134.99
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,085.22
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,284Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+161.6%+$3,691.55
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$59,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59,962.9
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,240.01
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,352Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$2,944.89
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,559.99
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.3
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.9
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,815Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$2,368.38
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.8
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.94
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$133.52
U.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.3
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.24
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30%+$54.75
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$543
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.4
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+65.2%+$41.45
Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$30.06
Social security checks delayed/not sent before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$31.5
Will TikTok be banned before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.11
China bans US films before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.2
Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+532.9%+$101.04
Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$30.8
Trump approval >45% on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.2
Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.8
Judge Boasberg holds Trump administration in contempt of court before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$4.61
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.4
Record low border encounters in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.19
Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$79.2
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.5
Trump Travel Ban Before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+62.6%+$19.25
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,536.6
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+57.2%+$91
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$178.93
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.2
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.7
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+275.6%+$331.34
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Elon tweet 170-179 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.9
Will Elon tweet 160-169 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.33
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$109
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.97
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Cavaliers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$645
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.35
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.83
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.27
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$2.75
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$3
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.1
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$4,700
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$4,922.26
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,860Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$4,140
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,012.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,356.54
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$655.99
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$52
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$224
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+63.7%+$256.8
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$84.8
Will Musk say "Tariff" 5+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+96.7%+$118
Will Musk say "China" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$29.68
Will Musk say "Trump" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+80.1%+$124.5
Will Musk say "DOGE" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+300%+$150
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chase Reid be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.07
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$5,399.92
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$5,400
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,666Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+156.4%+$5,734
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,949Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+104.1%+$5,151
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+132.6%+$1,139.98
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,092
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-65%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+54.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,435Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$3,465
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China-EU trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.5
Will Trump impose film tariff by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trevvy vs. Oblivionbacked Trevvy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.5
Trevvy KO's Oblivion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$34.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hersonissos 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Jacopo Berrettinibacked Jacopo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.