Token Launches · resolved market
Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa37982bad2b38a7477ed29a5f12e896fe664fe77e2396cf0af9beeda6ef9a051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01fc…f431backed Yes | 26c | 12,916$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d60dbacked No | 72c | 10,781$7,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…c30dbacked Yes | 68c | 10,396$7,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,024.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…a98cbacked Yes | 24c | 7,274$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…39b4backed No | 75c | 5,963$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…3f0ebacked No | 74c | 5,488$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9427…9df8backed Yes | 18c | 5,467$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…ed02backed Yes | 28c | 5,410$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…d6f7backed No | 77c | 5,219$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…bc54backed No | 58c | 5,219$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…cecebacked Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…135dbacked Yes | 24c | 4,813$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…65f0backed No | 77c | 4,380$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed Yes | 40c | 3,822$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.11 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…baaebacked No | 72c | 3,762$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 17c | 3,633$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.71 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…c749backed Yes | 27c | 3,467$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f7…ab46backed Yes | 24c | 3,141$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 11c | 2,913$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d4…0acebacked Yes | 31c | 2,714$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8727backed Yes | 27c | 2,290$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.1 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…3e14backed Yes | 22c | 2,223$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…d510backed Yes | 50c | 2,018$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 4c | 1,827$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 6c | 1,766$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee2…bea6backed Yes | 22c | 1,599$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.32 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…77d6backed Yes | 22c | 1,478$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.2 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…74f1backed Yes | 35c | 1,443$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fc…2f91backed No | 71c | 1,346$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa735…72e0backed Yes | 23c | 1,305$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 16c | 1,256$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 71c | 1,123$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.1 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb714…a191backed No | 77c | 954.79$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 68c | 948.85$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…ac2ebacked Yes | 27c | 939.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…7693backed Yes | 32c | 932.78$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 28c | 927.92$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.87 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…b0d3backed No | 78c | 907.06$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 72c | 843.85$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.09 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 65c | 843.31$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.42 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…3b33backed Yes | 10c | 822.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57a…66d6backed Yes | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 741.77$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.67 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6f…246dbacked Yes | 44c | 712.02$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…6ff5backed Yes | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 58c | 679.49$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.78 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 70c | 634.03$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 633.57$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…3866backed Yes | 26c | 606.51$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…64e0backed Yes | 17c | 605.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c1…3176backed Yes | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…849abacked Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…c20abacked Yes | 23c | 598.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 2c | 596.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.93 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes | 20c | 568.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 16c | 561.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 20c | 559.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…51bebacked Yes | 18c | 554.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6306…852abacked Yes | 25c | 530$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 73c | 528.85$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 9c | 523.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf100…a5fcbacked Yes | 9c | 519$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba5…8d60backed No | 76c | 468.18$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed No | 70c | 430.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 4c | 417.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…5c5cbacked Yes | 17c | 409.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…0cdbbacked No | 75c | 400.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd541…26bfbacked Yes | 16c | 379.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc077…3579backed Yes | 18c | 341.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…3f66backed No | 41c | 335.55$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…09a8backed No | 66c | 331.53$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…6fc4backed Yes | 15c | 293.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc803…3789backed Yes | 15c | 293.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfea…c9febacked Yes | 10c | 290$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…035fbacked Yes | 6c | 289$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…b44ebacked No | 70c | 265$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +442%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…1f5bbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…a3bcbacked No | 60c | 248.73$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…4280backed Yes | 16c | 246$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60c…72f6backed No | 65c | 243.59$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 66c | 237.92$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…a710backed No | 70c | 235$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…51aabacked Yes | 46c | 226.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…821fbacked No | 34c | 225$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 15c | 223.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dc…c1d7backed No | 70c | 222$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +123%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea01…c767backed Yes | 30c | 220$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…271ebacked No | 73c | 219.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…96b1backed Yes | 17c | 217.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…19efbacked Yes | 49c | 202.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…df98backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6181…ad60backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…47aabacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…db5abacked Yes | 20c | 195$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c61…31e3backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…f3a4backed Yes | 52c | 192.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?this page
- Astaria airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
- Base airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
- Farcaster airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
- Jumper airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
- Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
- MetaMask airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
- Rabby airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
- Rainbow airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.