Token Launches · resolved market
Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09d62a45bd8013890299eb676ce01511fe2f871923b02bb8d04a8274df7100ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7263…f2d7backed No | 60c | 38,109$22,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,243.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…ebf7backed Yes | 40c | 38,109$15,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,243.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,365$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…28b1backed No | 49c | 2,782$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +471.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 24c | 2,489$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.56 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed No | 65c | 2,143$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…975abacked Yes | 5c | 1,220$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…8436backed Yes | 49c | 1,218$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 78c | 1,087$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.76 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 60c | 1,065$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9588…d801backed No | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +680.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 17c | 933.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 816.41$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.82 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…10ddbacked Yes | 22c | 759.04$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…5a76backed Yes | 40c | 758.49$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…cd61backed Yes | 52c | 690.78$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 8c | 668.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…2504backed Yes | 45c | 558.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Yes | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60c…72f6backed No | 71c | 493.65$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.01 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd99…721cbacked Yes | 3c | 455.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 71c | 420.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…71dfbacked No | 76c | 409.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes | 33c | 342.02$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edf…275fbacked Yes | 44c | 340.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 61c | 331.61$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…0cdbbacked No | 70c | 329.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…3a35backed Yes | 31c | 326.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 7c | 311.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…5682backed No | 68c | 291.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…a540backed No | 63c | 287.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…3086backed Yes | 10c | 281.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…2996backed No | 75c | 265.71$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfead…893ebacked No | 75c | 265.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0b…8996backed No | 74c | 257.52$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…4541backed No | 76c | 249.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d2…ef7fbacked Yes | 20c | 242.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…4934backed No | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 25c | 214.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +900%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…95e8backed Yes | 21c | 211.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…de7ebacked Yes | 53c | 209.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 205.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…73cabacked Yes | 53c | 188.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…a3bcbacked No | 71c | 186.13$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…9769backed Yes | 32c | 178.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Yes | 46c | 171.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Yes | 24c | 169.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 65c | 168.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54e…9598backed Yes | 36c | 166.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…9ddfbacked Yes | 61c | 162.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…4ee5backed No | 61c | 161.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…c7a2backed Yes | 29c | 159.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8db…d0e1backed Yes | 38c | 153.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f6…5078backed Yes | 50c | 151.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 57c | 149.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -15.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…d124backed No | 22c | 147.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…1080backed Yes | 24c | 138.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 16c | 130.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…4413backed Yes | 43c | 128.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 10c | 128.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…ad0abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…6b49backed No | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f0…f661backed Yes | 18c | 119.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a5…4fa7backed No | 69c | 116.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48b…e95fbacked No | 38c | 114.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7a…ba43backed Yes | 44c | 114.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 47c | 113.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 35c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 59c | 108.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…3fbcbacked Yes | 34c | 108.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…e384backed Yes | 39c | 108.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed Yes | 33c | 104.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…5c5ebacked Yes | 27c | 104.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 66c | 103.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 68c | 103.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…53b2backed Yes | 39c | 101.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…7c2ebacked Yes | 42c | 101.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320d…7f11backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…070ebacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…5fc1backed Yes | 37c | 99.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…2fd9backed Yes | 50c | 96.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…5e63backed No | 65c | 96.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…909abacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78e9…ba9abacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…2095backed Yes | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d83dbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe052…1da3backed No | 58c | 85.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…ddbcbacked No | 60c | 85.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…cfb2backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…3090backed No | 33c | 81.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede3…e3f2backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a79…8e05backed No | 64c | 78.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed Yes | 34c | 77.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 76.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac6f…cc05backed Yes | 16c | 75.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?this page
- Astaria airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
- Base airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
- Farcaster airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
- Jumper airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
- MetaMask airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
- Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
- Rabby airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
- Rainbow airdrop in Q2 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.