TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x126f…7137

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
193
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Boxing at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.72
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$232.19
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$87.77
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+136.8%+$779.95
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,463Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$846.6
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.43
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$142.64
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+180.9%+$201.18
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,098Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+51.2%+$1,073.93
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$763.84
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$139
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$424.25
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.21
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$76.67
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,555.41
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+132.2%+$100.22
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$624.99
Harmonix FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+123.9%+$61.96
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during announcement today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$19.8
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.51
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$12.78
The 'Bill' Epstein Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+111.4%+$41.21
Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$695.63
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+145.5%+$1,655.71
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+320.4%+$1,002.02
New Epstein names released by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Donald Trump sign 28-29 executive orders in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$81.58
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$168
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,094.33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+44.7%+$154.5
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+94.3%+$1,358.46
House passes funding bill by midnight?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+31.6%+$24
Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+29.9%+$184
Will Trump publicly oppose funding bill today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$115.2
All 25 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.3%+$534.41
Will WLD hit $1.3 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.9%+$305.63
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Aster all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$166.31
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,491Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+79.9%+$1,191.85
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.77
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$53.99
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.4
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+250.5%+$795.36
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$27.11
Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+59.6%+$86.24
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+38.9%+$84
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.5
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+28%+$4.65
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.68
Will the New Democrats win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Donald Trump say Putin 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Gaza" during Macron presser today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$477.93
Will Dragan Primorac be the next President of Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$75
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$42
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+75.5%+$113.21
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Spread: Rams (-13.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.08
Who will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Cam Ward?backed Sanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$13
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+143.9%+$50.37
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+284.6%+$45.54
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$40.75
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,493
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.34
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+46.6%+$159
Will the US sanction Russia before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$47.24
Trump cuts Ukraine aid before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$3,125.47
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,025.48
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,253.71
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$9.98
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.3m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.2%+$101.71
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,099.75
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$155.07
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+58.9%+$129.52
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+95.3%+$1,198.61
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$35.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$10.64
Powell says "unemployment" 5+ times in FOMC statement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$127.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+502.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+502.4%+$889.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$30.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$65.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australia ODI Series: Australia vs India (Oct 24)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye tweet 400 or more times February 20-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.