Music · resolved market
One Direction reunion in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bc691beb6ed8ff892f13d1cda71a2144c8d28c1bbb9029c9f5767b26e641055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe53b…9b7abacked Yes | 13c | 1,580$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked No | 71c | 1,192$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.43 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 64c | 550.96$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.35 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 65c | 548.67$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.77 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 60c | 520.88$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 44c | 465$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.1 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 78c | 451.92$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 63c | 443$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.78 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 32c | 344.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes | 9c | 306$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 79c | 248$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 37c | 232.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 35c | 204$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…ef74backed Yes | 15c | 177.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed No | 66c | 148.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 34c | 147.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 62c | 139.41$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 125.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…de5cbacked Yes | 12c | 113.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 69c | 112.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e75…71f1backed No | 77c | 112.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked No | 76c | 100.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 67c | 100.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…09a8backed Yes | 34c | 99.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd688…bb8cbacked Yes | 34c | 99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…3f79backed No | 66c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…758bbacked No | 66c | 88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 37c | 83.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 29c | 77.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 27c | 73.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3179…e086backed Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 71c | 69.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…b759backed No | 65c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e6…c664backed Yes | 33c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…67d6backed Yes | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 61c | 64.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…871fbacked No | 67c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f52…5ee8backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…48e3backed No | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…9d49backed No | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…381cbacked Yes | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…505bbacked No | 67c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c2…f42bbacked No | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a45…5b50backed No | 67c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…875cbacked Yes | 33c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…257dbacked Yes | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a75…7993backed No | 68c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…a2d7backed No | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe067…b980backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…955cbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 62c | 49.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…c81abacked Yes | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…f504backed Yes | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3a…df0ebacked No | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…452abacked Yes | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…db9cbacked No | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb981…48b2backed No | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…69ebbacked Yes | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…4d89backed No | 66c | 45.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…ccf6backed Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…34f9backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db8…6229backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…f052backed No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 66c | 44.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…faa3backed Yes | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 42.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x737a…7677backed Yes | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…70f8backed No | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…4c6fbacked No | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…ad26backed Yes | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…88bcbacked Yes | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…7b7ebacked No | 66c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…339cbacked Yes | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e16…1e71backed No | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…857cbacked No | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e45…b01cbacked Yes | 36c | 35.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…76f2backed No | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3588…5f3bbacked No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…34b1backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…eb6ebacked Yes | 36c | 34.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8291…2dd0backed Yes | 36c | 34.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…0989backed Yes | 36c | 34.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…cb99backed Yes | 36c | 34.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…12bebacked Yes | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…1177backed Yes | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…64e9backed Yes | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…dcf6backed Yes | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…1e02backed Yes | 36c | 33.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…a02dbacked Yes | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9365…656ebacked No | 77c | 32.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…40a2backed No | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…0da3backed No | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9f…ee52backed Yes | 36c | 31.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…50f6backed Yes | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…16ecbacked No | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.