TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0710…42a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
288
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst World Politics at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+71.2%+$19.25
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.8%+$39.6
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+73.1%+$70.16
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+87.6%+$46.7
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.97
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$14.44
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+79.3%+$21.4
Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.43
Will Trump cut military spending?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+90.3%+$14.27
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$69.36
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.58
Will Trump impose tariffs on France in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$17.8
Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+28.8%+$23.4
Will Trump end Consumer Financial Protection Bureau in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$18.18
Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$10.14
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$7.8
Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.18
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+59.6%+$7.47
Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.8
Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$21.45
Will Trump pass a border/immigration law in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+86.5%+$36.69
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST3076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+44.7%+$14.91
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 3 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+35.2%+$11.6
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+73.6%+$42.4
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+86.6%+$115.07
Will "Anora" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+61.6%+$61.23
Will Demi Moore win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "The Substance"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+43.4%+$36.95
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "A Complete Unknown"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$26.8
Will "Wicked" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+60.8%+$37.8
Will "Anora" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will "Hacks" win Best Cast in a Comedy Series at the 2025 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+54.6%+$33.87
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $15-18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+37.1%+$48.22
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+35.7%+$155.44
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $82-91m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+43%+$113.31
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 60?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+74%+$16.36
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70 and 80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+48.3%+$173.6
Will "Anora" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+33%+$24.8
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+74.6%+$50.55
Will "Conclave" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$54.4
Will Marianne Jean-Baptiste win Best Actress at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "Hard Truths"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$36.8
Will Adrien Brody win Best Actor at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "The Brutalist"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+75.1%+$107.4
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.22
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in February 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+85.8%+$18.11
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on February 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$68.58
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+52.5%+$115.63
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on February 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+48.7%+$12.29
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 32-33°F on February 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+25.7%+$20.42
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 34-35°F on February 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+42.6%+$17.6
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$24.08
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 45°F or higher on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+42.2%+$79.35
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29.63
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+31.9%+$16.91
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$131.78
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$151.04
Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+30.3%+$27.88
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 37-38°F on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+54.9%+$39.01
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 35-36°F on February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+112.6%+$49.7
Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+55.9%+$33.53
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$19.5
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+46.3%+$27.84
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+99.9%+$19.81
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 47°F or higher on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$171.75
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+25.4%+$16.2
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+83.2%+$25.77
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+74.8%+$23.82
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2025, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville vs. Notre Damebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Texas State vs. South Alabamabacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+51.2%+$40.63
St. Bonaventure vs. Massachusettsbacked Massachusetts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$42.65
Marshall vs. South Alabamabacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+46.1%+$8.57
Albany vs. UMass Lowellbacked UMass Lowell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Alabama vs. Texasbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Georgia vs. Texas A&Mbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
George Mason vs. St. Louisbacked George Mason · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+52.9%+$20.76
UIC vs. Murray Statebacked Murray State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+41%+$12.4
Loyola Chicago vs. Richmondbacked Loyola Chicago · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+52.8%+$17.2
Florida vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.02
Purdue vs. Michiganbacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$37.01
Ohio vs. Bowling Greenbacked Bowling Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
BYU vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.57
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+26.2%+$7.11
Grambling State vs. Alabama A&Mbacked Alabama A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12.88
SE Louisiana vs. Houston Christianbacked Houston Christian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Howard vs. MD Eastern Shorebacked MD Eastern Shore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Northwestern State vs. Nicholls Statebacked Nicholls State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$37
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2025, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23.67
Will AC Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+41%+$33.1
Will Feyenoord vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+41.7%+$31.2
Will Monaco win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$26.6
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.8
Will Celtic vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+27.4%+$8.6
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+34.4%+$81.42
Will Club Brugge vs. Atalanta end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+60.8%+$34.44
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$258.57
Will Manchester City vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+61.1%+$60.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$182
Will Sporting CP vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+63%+$23.2
Will Juventus win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$48.54
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.6
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.34
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.14
Will the Greens be part of the next German government?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$15.1
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.04
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.2
Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.96
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.14
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+112%+$20.58
Canada election called before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+60.1%+$7.54
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.79
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.2
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.52
Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+87.3%+$37.28
Will Trump designate cartels as terrorists before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$55.12
NHL 4 Nations: Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$42.35
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.27
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+67%+$79.06
Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+30%+$3.08
Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.06
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$11.26
Will another country launch a memecoin in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+48.2%+$35.8
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be less than $500m on Feb 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+29.2%+$54.26
Dogecoin above $0.27 on February 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+43.9%+$12.28
Will ROWDY✨ win the PvP trading competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$17.99
Will GUTHIX win the PvP trading competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+30.7%+$9.4
Will SHOKU win the PvP trading competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+25.9%+$8.55
Will SMARTESTMONEY.HL win the PvP trading competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+78.8%+$22.96
Will BASED16Z win the PvP trading competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$48.2
Dogecoin above $0.25 on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+41.6%+$73.72
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 160 or more times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$46.93
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+39.4%+$45.2
Will Donald Trump post less than 60 times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
Will Ye tweet again by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Will Kanye tweet between 250-299 times February 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+26.1%+$14.74
Will Kanye tweet between 200-249 times February 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+47.4%+$88.4
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$596.19
Will Elon tweet 900-924 times Feb 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+35%+$102.03
Will Elon tweet 925-949 times Feb 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+29.1%+$69.73
Will Elon tweet 875-899 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$77.03
Will Elon Musk tweet 750-799 times February 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+29.2%+$9.04
Will POTUS tweet 23-25 times Feb 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+44.1%+$15.58
Will POTUS tweet more than 25 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+57.2%+$40.72
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NBA competitor raise >$3b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.94
Will Zaccharie Risacher win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$18.49
Will Stephon Castle win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the LA Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Will Maya Moore make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Team Chuck win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+56.8%+$43.29
Will Team Shaq win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$138.99
Will Mac McClung win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+36.3%+$31.28
Will Damian Lillard win the 2025 NBA 3-Point Contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$4
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.8%+$9.7
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+89.5%+$36.06
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.77
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$25.3
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$154.65
Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40.32
Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+110.1%+$14.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+62.8%+$10.03
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+62.4%+$36.76
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$8
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+71.3%+$21.4
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Mohamed Salah break the assists record this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+87.6%+$22.21
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$26.86
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.32
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Will Ipswich Town be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick58cpaid+64.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Hunter only play defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+93.8%+$18.11
Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.88
Will Aaron Rodgers retire?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$18
Will the Patriots draft Will Campbell?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$19.56
Will 1 QB get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$13
Will Abdul Carter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+48.3%+$26.06
Will the Patriots make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+129.8%+$31.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cannonier vs. Rodriguesbacked Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$24.6
Bonfim vs. Sadykhovbacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Vieira vs. Petroskibacked Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Hill vs. Souzabacked Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+59.6%+$20.16
Walker vs. Mayesbacked Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+61.3%+$56.2
All 5 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.02
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+97.4%+$35.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.59
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$9.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.