Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x816816d8f5a69d80ff539a209d537de0bed4d13b968fc11790257f310085caae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 26c | 12,686$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,450.05 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 7,500$5,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,925 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,015$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +9.3wins | +0.23per pick | 29cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 2,498$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.55 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 24c | 2,201$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes | 24c | 1,927$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.56 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…ea20backed No | 76c | 1,906$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b47…4500backed Yes | 24c | 1,906$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 75c | 1,804$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.96 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,477$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.89 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ba…1c54backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 70c | 1,002$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.8 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb2…3f22backed Yes | 24c | 990.95$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a6…5c40backed No | 76c | 990.95$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +216.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…f55ebacked Yes | 24c | 963.62$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…7dafbacked No | 76c | 963.62$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Yes | 67c | 885.44$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked No | 27c | 871.92$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.7 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +6.0wins | +0.54per pick | 37cpaid | +180.9%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 70c | 848.22$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.14 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 25c | 728.62$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…1b30backed Yes | 24c | 685.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…3a1cbacked No | 76c | 685.49$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +181.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 76c | 658.67$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 24c | 479.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…ea8abacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…46a7backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 395.98$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…f609backed No | 77c | 392.21$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e03bbacked Yes | 25c | 392$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f24…de12backed No | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dd…80b6backed Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…5755backed Yes | 24c | 291.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…f63dbacked No | 76c | 291.68$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…a8acbacked Yes | 79c | 281.77$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Yes | 25c | 275.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…130dbacked No | 76c | 263.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d5…d0d7backed Yes | 24c | 263.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 69c | 254.82$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.17 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked No | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…8ee3backed Yes | 24c | 169.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…c3bfbacked No | 76c | 169.64$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 29c | 161.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 62c | 159.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e9…f464backed Yes | 25c | 148$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +292.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…6c55backed No | 75c | 122$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe230…30c7backed Yes | 25c | 122$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…55f3backed Yes | 25c | 120.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 76c | 118.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 76c | 117.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 26c | 101.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…c769backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…5ffcbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 59c | 95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2640…60b7backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd698…4ba6backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +237.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…f3cdbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…30a6backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…00fcbacked Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…6e92backed No | 79c | 70.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…ed34backed Yes | 20c | 63.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d0…5962backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf450…2ca4backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 76c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 79c | 58.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 24c | 51.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2462…695bbacked Yes | 25c | 50.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x513f…cfbdbacked Yes | 44c | 49.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9064backed Yes | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd16…7467backed No | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc261…6111backed No | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…6ad1backed Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…282dbacked Yes | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…93eebacked No | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ca…b09cbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 40.3%116 W · 172 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ef…de92backed No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…2f30backed No | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b1…1ac2backed No | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4401…9ea1backed No | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…e6ecbacked No | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe556…306ebacked No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae2…7f3bbacked No | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…8c61backed No | 72c | 24.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…f13fbacked No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…99efbacked No | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.