Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ee1e5229ea745231e501f63c1000eb7f44ac937d5c6ac7d13e20b09418da484
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 69c | 63,513$43,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,778.84 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 32c | 40,310$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,310.6 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 30c | 33,937$10,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,882.26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 80c | 16,424$13,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,085.38 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 75c | 10,026$7,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,512.91 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 71c | 9,808$7,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,010.68 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 8,656$5,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,948.65 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 28c | 7,445$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,365.11 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 71c | 7,076$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.3 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…42a8backed Yes | 15c | 6,746$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,748.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +238.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 29c | 5,172$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.41 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 72c | 4,935$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.89 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes | 22c | 4,639$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.91 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 67c | 4,132$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.8 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 70c | 3,979$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 3,497$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.7 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…227fbacked Yes | 29c | 3,452$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes | 33c | 3,108$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.26 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 2,720$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.65 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed No | 74c | 2,707$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abd…9cddbacked Yes | 29c | 2,485$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 28c | 2,458$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.55 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 72c | 1,969$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.98 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…8efbbacked Yes | 35c | 1,815$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,810$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 30c | 1,808$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.38 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 30c | 1,368$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 16c | 1,263$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…67e6backed Yes | 27c | 1,222$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…2919backed Yes | 18c | 1,199$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 1,095$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 14c | 896.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.37 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…a489backed Yes | 26c | 843.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.09 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 826$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.87 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 28c | 797.93$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.51 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 27c | 743.96$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 21c | 721.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.77 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…c97fbacked Yes | 28c | 710.71$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…50d2backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf149…caf4backed Yes | 27c | 640.61$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…30a3backed Yes | 27c | 640.52$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 28c | 631.13$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.86 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 16c | 613$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.21 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Yes | 28c | 567.86$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.86 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…1a94backed Yes | 28c | 532.43$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed9…8a62backed Yes | 17c | 522.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +307.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…8f64backed Yes | 28c | 500.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 27c | 500$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 69c | 485$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 35c | 470.51$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes | 4c | 465.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.24 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +9.3wins | +0.23per pick | 29cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…2af4backed Yes | 27c | 450$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 29c | 437.34$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.34 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed Yes | 9c | 423.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +164%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…0c91backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e9…f464backed Yes | 29c | 382.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +292.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 29c | 366.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.74 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…269abacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…d7c8backed Yes | 29c | 350.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07b…a738backed Yes | 28c | 349.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 28c | 349.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Yes | 28c | 345$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…97c1backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…00a0backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes | 29c | 341.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.38 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…edf6backed Yes | 29c | 336.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…e644backed Yes | 27c | 335.71$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 64c | 332.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 28c | 312.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.23 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 29c | 310$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.2 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 32c | 309.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.79 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…00a2backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…207ebacked Yes | 34c | 290.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…427dbacked Yes | 28c | 273.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd55…d8a7backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 32c | 249.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.68 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…7f6bbacked Yes | 28c | 242.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +253.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 76c | 239.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…efa8backed Yes | 36c | 235.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…c7ddbacked Yes | 34c | 234.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.48 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…33debacked Yes | 67c | 226.05$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…c7c8backed Yes | 29c | 211.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 30c | 207$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…be09backed Yes | 28c | 206.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 29c | 200.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.