TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb701…7cf6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
703
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT30331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 303 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$278.52
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+203%+$40.61
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.09
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+122.4%+$66.1
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+320.4%+$272.35
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+216.8%+$151.73
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+132.9%+$102.3
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+253%+$113.87
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Showing 25 of 303 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT22932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 229 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$704.75
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Brentford win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$210.5
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$60.9
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$121.23
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$607.5
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$132.26
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+669.2%+$348
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$265
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$260
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$310
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$610
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+369.4%+$1,200.69
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+329.7%+$1,055.03
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$335.63
Will Fulham win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$221.71
Showing 25 of 229 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT8433.3%28 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$776
Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+376.2%+$340.57
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$294.1
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+203%+$406.06
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$162.8
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+984.4%+$984.44
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+307.3%+$1,684
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+203%+$345.15
Will FC København win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$193.01
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.4%+$947.73
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$955.58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Will Ajax Amsterdam win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+154.3%+$385.75
Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$670
Will Ajax Amsterdam win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST4235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$520
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$560
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$463
Will Rangers win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$590.61
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$1,650
Will Lille win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+400%+$800
Will Bologna win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$710
Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$1,280
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$335
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,220
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+150.2%+$75.08
UEFA Europa League: Athletic Club vs. Manchester United (To Advance)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.65
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$81.11
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$106.05
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.66
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+222.6%+$77.9
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$144.12
Ajax vs. Union St.-Gilloisebacked USG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-74.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2024, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+92.3%+$23.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+75.4%+$26.4
Buccaneers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+25%+$5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$34.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,031.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP beat FC Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.