Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe37a2d74462ad257b157c6e8cf155dc05a6f14ba5d55b51bcc61b7c70492ae2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f41…e28cbacked Yes | 9c | 118,000$10,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 8c | 29,050$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 9c | 9,676$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 8c | 7,223$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.84 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 9c | 5,050$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 8c | 4,375$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes | 9c | 4,186$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 9c | 508$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…16f2backed Yes | 9c | 470$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 8c | 450$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Yes | 8c | 450$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Yes | 12c | 423.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 8c | 372.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…7149backed Yes | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 8c | 303.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…79e0backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Yes | 4c | 277.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Yes | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…f2e3backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 8c | 221.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 9c | 221.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…c74dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…527dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…f697backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…c100backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 11c | 104.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c4…133ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-01?this page
- Will Tottenham vs. Bodo/Glimt end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.