Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Bodo/Glimt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebb1a8ccb537372d0a5c20988f81a283294e2bf6d3916d2cced959d586f60fe8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6bb…50bebacked Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,042$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.72 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 15c | 988.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 15c | 677.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 11c | 263.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Yes | 17c | 238.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6689…7cdabacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 14c | 125.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…82d6backed Yes | 17c | 63.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…b2d5backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Bodo/Glimt end in a draw?this page
- Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-01?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.