TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b6b…3ba7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT5339.6%21 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Milton Williams win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.56
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$523.96
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.66
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Los Angeles R beat Denver in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$293.65
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$250
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$960.78
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+177.8%+$177.78
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+478.7%+$1,914.81
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+104.5%+$525.02
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+204.8%+$1,165.23
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+219.2%+$1,315.2
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$375
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.8
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$700
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$586.96
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.83
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.02
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-80.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-81.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500.96
Spread: Ohio State (-7.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,242.33
Boise State vs. Washingtonbacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$31.12
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$202.4
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$345.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.