NFL · resolved market
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9564148d4c0e27e866c6cec8dc7ccee2562501c1d0395e3fc412f5160d5d0938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,220,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,179,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,220,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 654 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 41c | 436,622$177,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,128.09 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 56c | 189,628$106,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,593.02 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Yes | 10c | 80,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 43c | 69,100$29,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,592.14 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Yes | 43c | 44,000$18,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,919.8 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e2…5029backed Yes | 44c | 42,425$18,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,667 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…2e85backed Yes | 52c | 38,515$20,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,181.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Yes | 43c | 35,096$15,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,091.12 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 55c | 34,550$19,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,441.11 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 43c | 23,000$9,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,890 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yes | 7c | 12,196$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b0…5aaabacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…3258backed Yes | 0c | 11,970$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 68c | 11,954$8,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.43 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Yes | 44c | 10,227$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 44c | 9,773$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 10c | 9,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 43c | 8,222$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Yes | 43c | 8,050$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.49 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.96 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 57c | 7,309$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.92 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 8c | 7,101$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.66 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.99 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes | 9c | 6,066$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 67c | 5,563$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.63 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…f79bbacked Yes | 15c | 5,103$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.32 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed No | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Yes | 56c | 4,813$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Yes | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Yes | 6c | 3,917$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.44 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 29c | 3,888$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.03 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 17c | 3,876$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.11 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 44c | 3,597$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Yes | 41c | 3,270$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.63 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Yes | 43c | 3,226$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.24 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 13c | 2,945$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.51 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 57c | 2,777$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.11 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 44c | 2,729$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.16 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…c62fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,619$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 63c | 2,570$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.45 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked No | 58c | 2,513$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 52c | 2,405$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.3 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,183$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.51 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Yes | 54c | 2,144$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 76c | 1,988$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.58 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 7c | 1,958$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…ad73backed Yes | 21c | 1,888$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes | 22c | 1,714$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.15 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,638$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.47 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 38c | 1,499$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.29 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 7c | 1,428$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.04 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Yes | 44c | 1,337$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 15c | 1,323$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898e…6025backed Yes | 44c | 1,227$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 15c | 1,165$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed No | 53c | 1,142$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…3eafbacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…5c27backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…124fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed No | 77c | 1,135$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.76 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Yes | 44c | 1,126$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…ef66backed Yes | 44c | 1,091$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7379…8916backed Yes | 42c | 1,072$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes | 30c | 1,012$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…58e4backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…9640backed Yes | 49c | 968.29$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…b798backed Yes | 45c | 893.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…6221backed Yes | 45c | 893.44$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…bfb5backed Yes | 44c | 886.14$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 57c | 877.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.2 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes | 44c | 853.82$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Yes | 47c | 850.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Yes | 44c | 840.91$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 12c | 832$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.16 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc6…4690backed No | 42c | 829.76$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9c…fe9dbacked Yes | 24c | 824.1$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…001bbacked No | 43c | 819.89$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Yes | 44c | 789.09$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f0…bdd3backed Yes | 15c | 751.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…b61fbacked Yes | 39c | 750.28$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ea…b955backed Yes | 37c | 746.7$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…12eebacked Yes | 42c | 710.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…34e1backed Yes | 41c | 700$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -79%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f5…4969backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…871ebacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6670…0a3cbacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 53c | 678.13$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.24 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…7263backed Yes | 43c | 660.37$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…35dcbacked Yes | 44c | 648.18$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.9 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 57c | 646$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…9c71backed Yes | 48c | 627.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Yes | 43c | 600$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…5b63backed Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?this page
- Will AJ Barner win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Andres Borregales win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Byron Murphy win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Christian Gonzalez win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Coby Bryant win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will DeMarcus Lawrence win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Devon Witherspoon win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Ernest Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Hunter Henry win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Jake Bobo win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes won
- Will Leonard Williams win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Mack Hollins win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Marcus Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Milton Williams win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Nick Emmanwori win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Rhamondre Stevenson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Stefon Diggs win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Uchenna Nwosu win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.