TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fc6…4690

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Movies at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+205.3%+$201.75
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.7
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.64
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.2
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.6
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$126
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$770.4
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.6
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+70%+$46.66
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+180.7%+$126.14
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.63
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$86.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.31
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$30.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.1%+$11.26
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.82
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40.52
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.84
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$38.9
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$95.7
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.06
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+79.3%+$23.78
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$124.57
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$44.49
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$97.03
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.69
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$35.5
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.46
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.72
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.52
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$906.21
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$25.3
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+27%+$7.02
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.03
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.23
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+53.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+91.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+80.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72.54
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+261.3%+$66.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.24
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$549.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$131.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.