Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb286e73c58337c47e5125fb3855868b4334e25c05d8bc60b4751ed08e5eb5289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,927 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f57…2282backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…3313backed No | 0c | 21,802$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…f114backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…1ea8backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…2800backed No | 10c | 9,934$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed No | 0c | 7,068$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a0…5bdcbacked No | 0c | 4,745$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed No | 16c | 3,040$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…228cbacked No | 11c | 2,801$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f02…f844backed No | 12c | 2,056$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c90ebacked No | 52c | 955.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 2c | 745.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 731.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Yes | 75c | 624$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9092…554ebacked No | 18c | 599.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 59c | 538.76$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…2f6bbacked No | 21c | 466$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 6c | 406.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 26c | 384.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 72c | 366$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.81 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…96f1backed No | 40c | 345.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5645…5d21backed Yes | 79c | 316.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 16c | 289.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 96 | 16.7%16 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 46c | 270.91$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdf…3256backed Yes | 60c | 259.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…308fbacked Yes | 55c | 252$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 32c | 238.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 31c | 229.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3791…158fbacked Yes | 79c | 217.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…b701backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…fd5fbacked Yes | 41c | 184.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked No | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 21c | 170.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 71c | 163.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 10c | 160.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 57c | 149.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed No | 35c | 146.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 69c | 139.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d9…e296backed Yes | 74c | 124.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Yes | 79c | 120.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 82 | 62.2%51 W · 31 L | +11.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…666fbacked No | 46c | 107.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 78c | 105.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 46c | 102.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…42d5backed Yes | 72c | 98.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +12.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 66c | 92.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 59c | 90.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 15c | 88.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 17c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…3a9cbacked No | 40c | 87.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…b947backed No | 61c | 80.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…e82cbacked No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…e33ebacked Yes | 40c | 78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf827…530dbacked No | 27c | 74.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 63c | 72.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 47c | 70.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 23c | 69.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…e8e3backed Yes | 73c | 68.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…d5f6backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0d…fbb3backed No | 56c | 53.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc6…4690backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…f732backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95bf…043dbacked No | 58c | 45.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 69c | 45.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…8e3dbacked Yes | 76c | 39.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…20f1backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 68c | 32.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…5462backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e1fdbacked Yes | 68c | 29.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 56c | 29.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28b0…94cabacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…f664backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Yes | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Yes | 56c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb092…df9bbacked No | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed Yes | 63c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59e…4af8backed Yes | 69c | 15.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,200 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.