Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1d5d05a2377372f3be589b86029c3b95e5c263f1e88d0ddffa82a87bc1669f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fea…077dbacked Yes | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…2e0dbacked No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e0…c9dabacked Yes | 2c | 4,630$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,115$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa719…0f74backed Yes | 4c | 2,821$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 3c | 1,425$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…203abacked Yes | 10c | 1,119$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,079$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 14c | 945.73$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 918.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 1c | 899.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…f836backed No | 66c | 881$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…4122backed No | 66c | 872$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…8642backed No | 66c | 869$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb286…92ffbacked No | 66c | 863$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…5e35backed No | 66c | 858$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…8bbbbacked Yes | 10c | 770.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…2070backed Yes | 40c | 748.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bba…6f81backed Yes | 9c | 664.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…43e7backed No | 66c | 627$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 2c | 620.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 567.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Yes | 31c | 564.41$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…b3f4backed No | 74c | 420.48$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…c2a6backed No | 65c | 399.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24be…183ebacked Yes | 39c | 361.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed Yes | 13c | 315.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…ff9ebacked No | 73c | 273.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4e…65ddbacked Yes | 38c | 266.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…3c7fbacked No | 74c | 244.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…6fb1backed Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 23c | 219.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 60c | 201.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…b449backed Yes | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 66c | 196.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 17c | 177.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…4e93backed Yes | 35c | 176.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 62c | 176.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…add9backed Yes | 39c | 170$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…4be4backed Yes | 33c | 168.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec5…b63abacked No | 63c | 159.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked No | 71c | 140.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473b…8790backed Yes | 11c | 140.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…fd71backed Yes | 31c | 137.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 10c | 133.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 35c | 129.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 127.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed Yes | 22c | 120.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb34…a1cdbacked No | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 107.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…e9a5backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…73b8backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 29c | 99.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes | 34c | 96.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb092…df9bbacked Yes | 44c | 88.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…e658backed No | 74c | 87.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b5…037fbacked No | 67c | 84.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked No | 66c | 75.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…5414backed Yes | 29c | 61.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 29c | 56.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 79c | 55.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…2ddabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 27c | 48.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…7a59backed No | 67c | 48.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4506…b665backed No | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 62c | 44.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…834dbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 36c | 37.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 64c | 34.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…0440backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 32c | 32.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed No | 65c | 30.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…ca44backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59e…4af8backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 64c | 27.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…0fa2backed No | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3213…dd1fbacked No | 70c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 65c | 21.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…1578backed No | 74c | 20.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62df…1411backed No | 64c | 20.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7d…f070backed No | 65c | 20.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…7764backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +236.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0791backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed No | 69c | 16.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…2e7bbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf196…ef6bbacked No | 68c | 15.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 73c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,100 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,200 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.