TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf22b…7eab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
189
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: AI, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category AI at 56 out of 100; worst Stocks at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launcheslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.22
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$62.19
Aligned FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.31
Aligned FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.86
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$28.91
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.67
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$70.66
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$233.09
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.5
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+380.1%+$639.64
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$14.26
Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+188.2%+$84.23
Arcium FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.41
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.37
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$88.15
YOM FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+38%+$73.34
YOM FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.07
YOM FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+30%+$9.38
XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.47
XMAQUINA FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$21.82
Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Citrea FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$4.43
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$28.12
Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.79
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.39
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.34
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+188.9%+$49.56
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+167.5%+$111.43
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$13.1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.57
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$231.44
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.79
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.59
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$24.98
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.32
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+300%+$51.74
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+184.4%+$19.44
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$63.68
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$60.99
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+165.5%+$56.88
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$122.06
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.65
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.98
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.64
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$149.93
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$22.63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.93
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$51.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$64.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.7
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$89.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$46.26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.88
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+515.6%+$80.41
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.98
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60.57
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.3
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.46
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.3%+$26.54
All 24 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google dip to $270 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Amazon reach $260 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will Tesla reach $435 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.32
Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.79
Will Netflix dip to $35 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.88
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+46%+$12.11
Will Tesla reach $420 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.87
Will Netflix reach $105 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$118.33
Will Tesla dip to $353 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.83
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.39
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$4.76
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$28.06
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$629.82
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$121.15
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$119.73
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.91
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$556.01
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.86
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+160.2%+$89.76
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.22
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.62
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+119.2%+$57.09
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.29
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$44.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+55%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+235.4%+$32.9
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$143.16
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$49.61
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.37
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$6.78
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.5
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$37.72
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-44.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+114.3%+$101.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$60.99
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.